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Strategies & Market Trends : Asia Forum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Zeev Hed who wrote (1098)1/18/1998 6:45:00 PM
From: Rational  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 9980
 
Zeev,

I have read news articles suggesting that Rp is heavily shorted. While this is believable by me, I do not know the extent of short-selling. After Indonesia closed 16 banks (to comply with the IMF requirements), many Indonesians panicked and withdrew their Rp from even the healthy banks and converted Rp into US$; this is the currency-run that even the IMF confidential memo has acknowledged to be the cause for the precipitous fall in Rp value from 1/2400 to 1/10000. This crisis could have been alleviated had there been a Kim DJ taking over Indonesian leadership. Suharto's reassertion of his leadership is being received with mixed feelings. This is my understanding of a really messy scenario.

Sankar

PS: Many SE Asian firms have end of March as their year-end and so they may like to wait till March for short-covering of Rp.