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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Bill who wrote (1117404)2/14/2019 9:11:08 AM
From: Land Shark  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 1586428
 
They were working...of course you FatRumptards have this dim view of anyone working for the govt...



To: Bill who wrote (1117404)2/14/2019 9:15:51 AM
From: sylvester80  Respond to of 1586428
 
SH*T POS tRump ECONOMY: Auto loan delinquencies at highest point since 2010: NY Fed

TOM KRISHER
Associated PressFebruary 12, 2019
finance.yahoo.com


In this Sunday, Feb. 3, 2019, photograph, a long row of unsold 2019 911 Carrera GTS cabriolets sits at a Porsche dealership in Littleton, Colo. Borrowers are behind in their auto loan payments in numbers not seen since delinquencies peaked at the end of 2010, according to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. (AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
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DETROIT (AP) — Borrowers are behind in their auto loan payments in numbers not seen since delinquencies peaked at the end of 2010, according to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.

More than 7 million Americans were 90 or more days behind on their car loans at the end of last year, 1 million more than eight years ago, according to a report from the bank. That's a potential sign of trouble for the auto industry and perhaps the broader economy.

The New York Fed reported that auto loan delinquency rates slowly have been worsening, even though borrowers with prime credit make up an increasing percentage of the loans. The 90-day delinquency rate at the end of 2018 was 2.4 percent, up from a low of 1.5 percent in 2012, the bank reported. Also, delinquencies by people under 30 are rising sharply, the report said.

But economists and auto industry analysts say they aren't sounding an alarm yet. The number is higher largely because there are far more auto loans out there as sales grew since the financial crisis, peaking at 17.5 million in 2016. The $584 billion borrowed to buy new autos last year was the highest in the 19-year history of loan and lease origination data, according to the report.

Other signs still point to a strong economy and auto sales that will continue to hover just under 17 million per year for the near term.

"I think it's a little too soon to say that the sky is falling, but it's time to look up and double check to make sure nothing is about to hit you on the head," said Charlie Chesbrough, senior economist for Cox Automotive.

U.S. consumers have about $1.27 trillion worth of auto debt, which is less than 10 percent of the total consumer borrowing tracked by the New York Fed. Mortgages and student loans are both larger categories than auto debt.

The jump in unpaid auto loans is a worrying sign for low-income Americans, though not necessarily a sign that an economic downturn is near.

"The substantial and growing number of distressed borrowers suggests that not all Americans have benefited from the strong labor market and warrants continued monitoring and analysis of this sector," researchers at the New York Fed concluded in a blog post.

Average new car sales prices and loan payments have been increasing steadily for the past five years, hitting $36,692 last month, according to Kelley Blue Book. Loan payments averaged $547.75 per month last year.

Prices are high because people are switching in dramatic numbers from lower-priced sedans to more expensive SUVs and trucks. Because they keep the vehicles longer, they're loading up the rides with luxury options such as leather seats, sunroofs, high-end sound systems and safety technology. Also, the Federal Reserve has been raising interest rates, causing auto loan rates to go up.

Jeff Schuster, a senior vice president at the forecasting firm LMC Automotive, said the higher prices and payments mean that some people may have taken on more than they can handle. "Not that they're unemployed or they can't afford a vehicle," Schuster said. "They may have bought too much of a vehicle."

Schuster said that by itself, the rising delinquency rate isn't cause for alarm because unemployment remains low and economic growth has been "chugging along," factors that contribute to the ability to make auto loan payments.

Analysts say that people are reluctant to default on vehicle loans. After all, they need their cars to get to work, pick up children at school and run errands.

"A car is your ability to participate in the economy," said Signe-Mary McKernan, an economist and co-director of the opportunity and ownership initiative at the Urban Institute, a think tank based in Washington, DC.

McKernan said that when purchasing a vehicle on credit, she recommends having an alternative loan option from your bank or credit union before agreeing to the terms provided by a dealership. She also said that people facing late payments should contact their creditor as quickly as possible and get any agreements on repayment in writing.



To: Bill who wrote (1117404)2/14/2019 9:18:46 AM
From: sylvester80  Respond to of 1586428
 
SH*T POS tRump ECONOMY: Red flags emerge as Americans' debt load hits another record

By Jonathan Spicer
ReutersFebruary 12, 2019
finance.yahoo.com

By Jonathan Spicer

NEW YORK (Reuters) - Some red flags emerged for the U.S. economy late last year as credit card inquiries fell, student-loan delinquencies remained high and riskier borrowers drove home automobiles, according to a report that could signal a downturn is on the horizon.

The U.S. household debt and credit report, published Tuesday by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, showed that the overall debt shouldered by Americans edged up to a record $13.5 trillion in the fourth quarter of 2018. It has risen consistently since 2013, when debt bottomed out after the last recession.

While mortgage debt, by far the largest slice, slipped for the first time in two years, other forms of borrowing rose including that of credit cards, which at $870 billion matched its pre-crisis peak in 2008.

(Graphic: U.S. credit card debt: tmsnrt.rs

Consumer spending accounts for two-thirds of growth in the world's largest economy and it is expected to hold strong this year even as the overall expansion cools after a hot 2018.

However one sign of consumer demand, credit inquiries, slipped in the second half of 2018 to the lowest level recorded by the New York Fed.

(Graphic: Waning demand for credit?: tmsnrt.rs

Another signal of weaker demand, the closing of credit cards and other accounts, jumped to its highest level since 2010, while flows into serious delinquency for credit cards rose 5 percent, up from 4.8 percent in the third quarter.

(Graphic: Household credit account closings: tmsnrt.rs

Serious-delinquency flows, a warning bell for economists because they can prelude defaults, spiked in the third quarter for student debt and remained there in the fourth quarter, with 9.1 percent of the $1.5-trillion total debt seriously delinquent.

(Graphic: Student loan debt: tmsnrt.rs

These flows have also been rising since 2012 for auto loans, which rose slightly to total $1.3 trillion by the end of 2018, a year that had the highest number of auto loan originations since at least 1999.

New York Fed economists said that while creditworthy borrowers are mostly driving the growth in originations, the performance of auto debt is worsening.

"Growing delinquencies among subprime borrowers are responsible for this deteriorating performance, and younger borrowers are struggling most acutely to afford their auto loans," said Joelle Scally, administrator of the New York Fed's center for microeconomic data.

The Federal Reserve raised rates four times last year but is now taking a wait-and-see approach to further policy tightening in the face of an overseas slowdown, the expected slowdown at home, and muted U.S. inflation.

The report also showed that Americans have continued to turn away from home equity lines of credit, or HELOC, which can free up funds for other purchases. HELOC balances dropped to $412 billion in the fourth quarter, its lowest level in 14 years.

(Reporting by Jonathan Spicer; Editing by Phil Berlowitz and Chizu Nomiyama)