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To: Scott C. Lemon who wrote (16333)	1/19/1998 6:14:00 PM
From: Bill Jackson	Respond to of 24154

In my research and analysis in this area, I have found that I no longer believe that the OS will have anything to do with "winning" this Java vs. Windows war. In order for Java and CORBA to "win" and be a success (even if they just run on Windows) they must attain two primary goals: 1. They must provide the same applications, and office productivity applications, that we are used to running today. All of the functionality that is critical for day to day productivity must be there. It doesn't matter which OS, it's the applications that are key! This is what Netscape and IBM are working on ... Java applications. 1A. I suspect the programmed base makes that impossible to do in a timely way. They can start with the popular stuff and let development by others bring java versions of their Wintel products to market. Automated systems working on modular code might make this faster than expected, so it should not be counted out as many are hard at work on this idea. So they will bring the 2-3% of programs that make up 50-60 of users to the market.(Word processors, Spread sheets, Browser, etc), and let the sea of small aps make their own way. 2. The second primary goal must be the compatibility with legacy data. Since corporations have huge amounts of existing data, in files and databases, they must be able to access that data from these new applications. That is why you see so much work to get JDBC and other database connectivity technologies out. 2A Interconversion of the legacy data should be easily doable, unless some(MSFT) object to copyright infringements that (in their eyes) do them harm. After all it only needs to be done onve for each program and then the same thing can be propagated ad infinitum. If other vendors (Sun, Netscape, IBM) are able to attain these two goals, then it doesn't matter what OS the customer runs ... and now the customer regains the power to force OS vendors to stay competitive and deliver the best products. 3A The holy grail beckons, I hope we all choose wisely. I don't know much about the product, but it would be a smart thing to have the optimized JVM to be ready to catch, and run, all the Java apps being created by Netscape and IBM and Sun .. ;-) 4A Indications are the the JVM is ready to go, and works well. Check AAPL thread. The Appelonians are full of glee and glory as the recent earnings positive. However I wait to see if creative accounting 202 was to blame. Bill