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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Thomas A Watson who wrote (1122897)3/5/2019 9:55:35 PM
From: THE WATSONYOUTH  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 1576022
 
In any case, I expect computers are still many orders of magnitude to slow to model tomorrows weather.

...this is complete utter nonsense.

Now as I recall my specific location was in a 3 to 6" zone near the border of a 6 to 12" zone.

...the prediction for your location was 6-12 inches at least 24 hours BEFORE the event. The EARLIER 3-6 inch prediction was due to the fact that the model ( European) had the projected tract about 70 miles too far north which would cause mixed precipitation in your area for a length of time.... thus cutting way down on the amount of measured snow. Later model runs moved the tract further south which eliminated the period of mixed precip. .....thus you got all snow.......................The 24 hour forecast was not at all dead on but sequential European model runs were moving the tract in the correct direction. In reality, the GFS model had the better predicted tract for this system..........this was a complex system with a quite narrow north to south precip band and marginal amount of cold air making the exact track and air circulation around it critical (for mixing)..............your characterization that 24 hour models are a crap shoot is plain bull shit. .....for whatever reason, you have an agenda...........you know next to NOTHING about short term weather modeling. You are just another internet blow hard depending on most others to know even less.........and in that, you are successful.