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To: locogringo who wrote (1129946)4/15/2019 1:17:49 PM
From: Wharf Rat  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 1574493
 
Nenana Ice Classic 2019
gavin @ 14 April 2019

Wow.

Perhaps unsurprisingly given the exceptional (relative) warmth in Alaska last month and in February, the record for the Nenana Ice Classic was shattered this year.

The previous official record was associated with the exceptional conditions in El Niño-affected winter of 1939-1940, when the ice went out on April 20th 1940. Though since 1940 was a leap year, that was actually a little later (relative to the vernal equinox) than the ice out date in 1998 (which wasn’t a leap year).

Other records are also tumbling in the region, for instance the ice out data at Bethel, Alaska:

View image on Twitter





IARC Fairbanks@IARC_Alaska





The Kuskokwim River at Bethel has gone out. This is, by far, the earliest breakup in the 90+ years of breakup data. This follows the warmest February and warmest March on record. @kuskoiceclassic @Climatologist49 @AlaskaWx



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5:17 PM - Apr 12, 2019




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While the trend at Nenana since 1908 has been towards earlier ice-out dates (by about 7 days a century on average), the interannual variability is high. This is consistent with the winter warming in this region over that period of about 2.5ºC. Recent winters have got close (2012/14/15/16) (3 to 4 days past the record), but this year’s April 14th date is an impressive jump (and with no leap year to help calendrically).

As usual, I plot both the raw date data and the version adjusted to relative to the vernal equinox (the official time of breakup was ~12:21am).



[As usual, I predict that there will be no interest from the our favorite contrarians in this]

realclimate.org



To: locogringo who wrote (1129946)4/16/2019 10:31:14 AM
From: Wharf Rat  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 1574493
 
GISS March global up 0.21°C from February.

The GISS V3 land/ocean temperature anomaly rose 0.21°C in March. The anomaly average was 1.11°C, up from December 0.90°C. It compared with a 0.208°C rise in TempLS V3 mesh. Jim Hansen's detailed report is here. So far, April is looking warm too.

I think that now that TempLS and GISS are using GHCN V4, the agreement will be even better than in the past, as in this month. There extra coverage does make a difference. The earlier NCEP/NCAR average also agreed very well (0.19° rise). It was the third highest March in the record, just behind 2017.

The overall pattern was similar to that in TempLS. Huge warm spots in Siberia and NW N America/Arctic. Cool spots in NE USA through Labrador to Greenland, and Arabia through N India. Warm in Australia and S Africa.

As usual here, I will compare the GISS and previous TempLS plots below the jump.
moyhu.blogspot.com