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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: longnshort who wrote (1136224)	5/23/2019 9:20:56 PM
From: FJB	1 Recommendation Recommended By locogringo Respond to of 1578094

Breadline Bernie: Congress Has ‘No Choice’ But Impeachment

To: longnshort who wrote (1136224)	5/24/2019 2:05:11 PM
From: Bill	1 Recommendation Recommended By TideGlider Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 1578094

If that poll is right, millennials must not be watching TV any more.

To: longnshort who wrote (1136224)	5/24/2019 2:09:09 PM
From: sylvester80	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 1578094

Trump Approval Rating LOWEST EVER In Latest Poll – Including with Millennials! Message 32167668

To: longnshort who wrote (1136224)	5/24/2019 8:12:44 PM
From: sylvester80	1 Recommendation Recommended By Land Shark Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 1578094

OOPS! Trump Should Worry About His Approval Rating; Nothing seems to sway the public’s bad opinion of the president. That doesn’t bode well for 2020. By Jonathan Bernstein May 22, 2019, 3:38 AM MST bloomberg.com The last time I looked carefully at President Donald Trump’s approval ratings, he had failed to gain any ground after Attorney General William Barr issued his (implausibly positive) summary of the special counsel’s report.Since then, the full (redacted) report has been released; Barr’s Senate testimony received quite a bit of coverage; Trump’s trade war with China dominated the news for a while; solid jobs and GDP numbers were published; and Trump decided to stonewall House investigators, who are now using the courts to push back. After all that, his approval ratings are … pretty much where they’ve always been. Trump remains, overall, by far the least popular president in the polling era.Technically, over the past two months, Trump’s approval has dipped, rebounded and dipped again. Through May 21, he was down to 41.2% approval and 54.0% disapproval. That’s a little worse than it was before Robert Mueller’s investigation ended. But it’s likely that random variation in survey results are producing small ups and downs. My guess is that Trump has been at around 42% approval and 53% disapproval ever since the government shutdown ended in January. More broadly, Trump seems to have lost half a percentage point in approval since 2018. For a normal president, a change that tiny wouldn’t be worth mentioning. For Trump, who has had incredibly stable numbers, anything that bumps him down even a little seems (and maybe is) more important.Trump’s current approval rating is the second-lowest of any polling-era president through 852 days in office, beating out only Jimmy Carter. He has the worst disapproval at this point of any of those presidents, and is second to last in net approval (the difference between approval and disapproval). Compared to the last four presidents who were reelected, Trump is solidly behind. His net approval, at -12.8%, is about 14 points worse than Ronald Reagan’s, 20 points worse than Barack Obama’s and 25 points worse than Bill Clinton’s. He trails George W. Bush by 45 points.As always, I’ll point out that there’s plenty of time for change. In the 18 months before they were up for re-election, most of the polling-era presidents had swings of at least 10 percentage points, up or down (or in many cases both).That said, it’s still true that there’s never been a president, at least from Harry Truman on, as consistently unpopular as Donald Trump. It remains hard to see where he would find new support, and it’s possible that he has at least a soft ceiling at around 45% approval. If that’s true, it’s going to take either an amazing fluke for him to win a second term or a lot of people voting for him while thinking he’s doing a bad job. And people usually don’t vote for a president while thinking he’s doing a bad job.1. Kathryn Dunn Tenpas on cabinet turnover in the last few administrations – and who counts as a cabinet member, anyway?2. Molly Reynolds and Margaret Taylor explain what a formal impeachment inquiry would mean. Very helpful.3. Becca Wasser and Ariane Tabatabai at the Monkey Cage on Iran’s non-state partners.

To: longnshort who wrote (1136224)	5/24/2019 8:15:13 PM
From: sylvester80	1 Recommendation Recommended By Land Shark Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 1578094

OOPS! Trump’s Approval Rating Slumps Back to Normal By Ed Kilgore May 20, 2019 nymag.com Believe it or not, the 45th president just isn’t popular. I feel like I’ve written a lot of the same words before that I’m about to write now, but over an extended period of time. Week before last, I wondered if at long last we were finally seeing a significant lift in the president’s job-approval ratings of the sort Republicans had been predicting from practically the moment the man took office: This morning as on every weekday morning I glanced at RealClearPolitics’ polling average for the president’s job-approval ratings, and I nearly dropped my coffee cup: It was at 45.1 percent. Just yesterday I had written that Trump had “yet to hit 45 percent in average approval ratings at either RealClearPolitics or FiveThirtyEightsince the earliest days of his presidency.” Scanning RCP’s graph of past averages, I learned that today’s was Trump’s highest average approval rating since February 20, 2017. So is the president undergoing some sort of serious improvement in his famously stagnant levels of popularity, which could result in him reaching levels consistent with past presidents who were reelected? Are the economy and the triumphant GOP spin on the Mueller report combining to give him an unprecedented lift? I expressed some skepticism about that possibility, and indicated time would tell. Looks like it has. Trump’s approval-rating average at RCP hasn’t drifted ever upward, but is back down to 43 percent. At FiveThirtyEight, it’s at 41.8 percent. Most startling of all, it’s at 44 percent in the Rasmussen tracking poll, which is the lowest it’s been since February 1. The president has been known to tweet out unusually favorable numbers from this poll. He’s not going to mention this one. Rasmussen isn’t alone in showing a bit of a Trump slump. There were all sorts of paroxysms of delight among Republicans over a 46 percent showing in a mid-April Gallup tracking poll. Gallup’s especially useful because it can enable comparisons to presidents of the past. And for a brief moment, Trump’s approval rating was above Obama’s at the same point in his presidency. Now Trump is down to 42 percent in the most recent Gallup survey, and Obama at the same juncture was at 51 percent, a level Trump has never reached in 31 months as president. Gallup also shows Trump is doing a lot worse than most recent presidents in May of their third year in office: Dating back to Ike, only Jimmy Carter was in worse shape. We’ve been here many times before. Gallup calculates Trump’s average approval rating for throughout his presidency at 40 percent. Apart from a dip into the high 30s when he was unsuccessfully trying to kill Obamacare in 2017, the low 40s are where he’s been consistently in the RCP averages; at FiveThirtyEight (which weighs results for polling quality and partisan bias), he’s similarly very near where he’s usually been, with somewhat more frequent and recent dips into the high 30s. Get unlimited access to Intelligencer and everything else New York. LEARN MORE »So it’s more and more evident that the man’s popularity simply isn’t very elastic, regardless of economic conditions and/or the daily gyrations of his Twitter feed and the partisan conflict in Washington. And it reinforces the very high likelihood that his reelection is going to depend not on any Trump surge in approval but on dragging his Democratic opponents down into the depths of popular opprobrium right along with him, like an alligator executing a death roll to drown its prey.

To: longnshort who wrote (1136224)	5/24/2019 8:17:31 PM
From: sylvester80	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 1578094

OOPS! Trump’s trade war polls badly in key states like Pennsylvania, threatening his support for 2020 PUBLISHED WED, MAY 22 2019 10:56 AM EDT UPDATED WED, MAY 22 2019 12:19 PM EDT cnbc.com KEY POINTS A Quinnipiac University national poll finds voters aren’t thrilled about President Donald Trump’s trade agenda.Voters’ disapproval on trade contrasts starkly with their positive views of the economy as a whole.Trump’s approval on trade reportedly doesn’t fare much better in key industrial states — which carried him to victory in 2016 and are crucial for his 2020 reelection bid, but whose farmers have been hit hardest by the ongoing trade war. VIDEO06:07 Two former congressmen discuss whether tariffs are an effective short-term trade tactic American voters may be happy with the red-hot economy, but they’re not thrilled about President Donald Trump or his trade agenda overall. That’s according to a Quinnipiac University national poll released Tuesday of 1,078 voters surveyed between May 16 and May 20, which found that just 39% approve of the president’s handling of trade, while 53% disapprove. The poll carries a margin of error of plus or minus 3.7%. Trump’s approval on trade reportedly doesn’t fare much better in key industrial states — which had carried him to victory in 2016 and are crucial for his 2020 reelection bid, but whose farmers have been hit hardest by the ongoing trade war. Voters’ disapproval on trade contrasts starkly with their views of the economy as a whole. A large majority of respondents, 71%, said that the economy is in either “excellent” or “good” standing — a figure Quinnipiac says is the highest total for those categories in nearly 18 years. But the high marks for the economy don’t appear to be lifting Trump’s approval ratings. The president had 38% approval in the Quinnipiac poll, and 57% disapproval. That’s a wider gap in approval than Trump scored in the last Quinnipiac survey in early May. Voters are increasingly unimpressed with Trump’s handling of trade, as well as on China, the main adversary in his trade war. Opinion on Trump’s trade policies has soured since January, the last time the pollster asked voters, “Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling trade?” What’s worse, 48% of respondents in the most recent poll say that Trump’s protectionist trade policies are bad for the U.S. economy, versus 40% who say they are helping. And more voters — 44% to 36% — also say that Trump’s trade policies are bad for their personal financial situations. Trump’s marks aren’t much better on China: 50% of voters disapprove of his job handling U.S. policy toward that economic superpower, compared with 40% who approve of the president’s approach. The U.S. and China are locked in a protracted trade dispute, and both sides have ratcheted up the aggression in recent weeks. In May, Trump announced an increase in tariffs to 25% on $200 billion of Chinese goods, sending markets into a tizzy and prompting China to retaliate by raising duties on $60 billion in American products. Shortly after, the trade talks with China appeared to hit a roadblock, with no clear schedule in place to continue negotiations after the U.S. said China reneged on past promises and Beijing took steps to prop up its currency. Key states for Trump, key states on trade Quinnipiac sent additional data to The Washington Post on how voters felt about Trump’s trade and China policies in five industrial states: Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Ohio and Iowa. Trump won all of those states in the 2016 contest against his Democratic rival, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton. But more voters in those five states disapprove than approve of Trump’s handling of trade — 56% to 41%, according to the Post. The report also says that just 39% of those voters approve of Trump’s handling of China, versus 53% who don’t. And only 39% say Trump’s trade policies are good for the U.S. economy, versus 47% who say they’re bad. Trump, who described himself as a “tariff man” as president, has long maintained that taxes on imports will strengthen the U.S. and has promised that trade wars are “easy to win.” But China has targeted its retaliatory tariffs for maximum impact, and economists say they are hitting U.S. farmers at “every single angle.” Beijing’s continued actions could threaten to undermine support from constituencies that are more likely to support Trump and Republicans in upcoming elections. The White House did not immediately respond to CNBC’s request for comment on the poll.

To: longnshort who wrote (1136224)	5/24/2019 8:21:02 PM
From: sylvester80	1 Recommendation Recommended By Land Shark Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 1578094

OOPS! Socialism Is More Popular Than Donald Trump The president is campaigning against socialism. New polling suggests he is failing. By John Nichols Twitter TODAY 1:51 PM thenation.com Donald Trump has spent much of this year campaigning against socialism. The president opened his campaign with a rambling February 5 State of the Union address, in which he declared, “Tonight, we renew our resolve that America will never be a socialist country.” A month later, in March, Trump appeared with Jair Bolsonaro, the right-wing strongman who recently became Brazil’s president, and announced that “The twilight hour of socialism has arrived.” That was wishful thinking on the president’s part. The numbers are in. The president is down. Socialism is up. “Trump Approval Edges Down to 42%,” read the headline from a May 17 Gallup review of its latest polling on the president’s appeal. Three days later, Gallup reported that “43% of Americans say socialism would be a good thing for the country.” That’s right—after months of attacking socialism, Trump came into mid-May with a 42 percent approval rating while socialism scored a 43. In fairness to Trump, these recent polls have margins of error, and surveys of presidential popularity and ideological alignment measure different apples and oranges. But it is still striking, as Trump’s approval numbers are ticking downward, socialism seems to be holding its own. Indeed, Gallup now notes, “about four in 10 Americans are accepting of some form of socialism or socialist policies.” What’s even more striking are the measures of who likes socialism. The ideology is narrowly ahead with women, 48 percent of whom say that socialism is good for the country, as opposed to 47 percent who say it’s bad. (Men go 56 percent “bad,” versus 38 percent “good.”) And the Gallup survey suggests socialism is way ahead with nonwhite Americans, 57 percent of whom say its good for the country, versus just 35 percent who label the ideology bad. Socialism is especially popular with young people. Among the Americans aged 18–34 who were surveyed by Gallup, 58 percent say it’s good for the country. So if the future is female, if America is growing more diverse, and if today’s young people are destined to become more influential in our politics, it is entirely reasonable to suggest that socialism is “trending.” Gallup’s analysis is correct when it suggests that “Americans’ views on socialism are complex. While some recent data can easily lend to overstated conclusions, there are marked changes in Americans’ views of socialism when taking a longer, more historical look at the data. However, exactly what Americans mean by the term is nuanced and multifaceted.” True enough. For instance, does it matter if the word “democratic” is attached so that the ideology is identified as “democratic socialist”? That’s how Congresswoman Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez identifies, as do many of the new members of city councils and state legislatures who have been elected with the support of Democratic Socialists of America (DSA). The polls tell us that a good deal of socialism’s appeal has to do with a sense that capitalism isn’t working, and DSA addresses this sentiment. “Democratic socialism fights inequality by giving power back to the workers through unions and true representation. It overcomes alienation and inequality by strengthening civil rights and building solidarity among the many,” the group argues. “No system is perfect, but the one we live in now is needlessly cruel and unfair—and millions want something new, something better.” But is it imaginable that Americans might choose a democratic socialist over a socialism-bashing president? The latest national survey from the Emerson College polling group has the nation’s best-known democratic socialist, Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders, beating Trump by eight points. When Trump started his campaign against socialism in February, Emerson’s polling had Sanders leading the president only narrowly: 51-49. Three months into the campaign, Trump’s support has fallen to 46 percent, while the democratic socialist has risen to 54 percent.