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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Arran Yuan who wrote (149659)7/16/2019 7:02:35 AM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 218377
 
In the mean time there are folks who believe chaos cannot be strategically leveraged or tactically pivoted to advantage. They shall learn, unless team Japan craters and reverses, or Team Korea folds and forgives. Of the two possibilities, more likely Japan retracts, and less likely Korea implodes

Let’s see if this guy is correct washingtonpost.com

<<There’s a crisis unfolding in Asia. The U.S. is the only actor that can fix it.>> ... hard to pitch by trump.

cnbc.com

Japan-South Korea dispute is called ‘disturbing and unhelpful’ for the global economy

Published 5 hours agoUpdated 2 hours ago



South Korean President Moon Jae-in walks past Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe at the G-20 summit in Osaka, Japan, on June 28, 2019.

Kim Kyung-Hoon | Bloomberg | Getty Images

The dispute between Japan and South Korea is “a lose-lose proposition” as it comes amid an ongoing global trade war that the U.S. and its trading partners are embroiled in, an economist said on Tuesday.

Tokyo and Seoul have long had political disagreements stemming from Japan’s conduct during the second World War. The dispute between the neighbors spilled into the economic arena when Japan earlier this month restricted exports of materials critical to South Korea’s high-tech industry, citing national security concerns.

Japan and South Korea are large exporters of products such as chips and smartphone displays. An escalated trade fight between the two could be bad news for the global technology industry and consumers may end up having to pay more for products.

“This development that we’re seeing now is disturbing and unhelpful for the global economic sentiment. To begin with, we already have so much around the trade war between the U.S. and the rest of the world,” Taimur Baig, chief economist at DBS Group Research, told CNBC’s “Squawk Box” on Tuesday.



He added that Japanese and South Korean companies have spent years building up “intricate” supply chains, and it’ll be “so hard to redo” such arrangements when trust among all those involved has been breached.

“It doesn’t help anybody,” he said. “To me, it’s a lose-lose proposition.”

Baig is not the only one who has warned about a potential disruption to the technology supply chain. Troy Stangarone, a senior director at think tank Korea Economic Institute of America, said prices of semiconductors could rise if South Korean manufacturers cut production as a result of Japan’s trade restrictions.

That higher cost may be passed on to consumers, some experts warned.

Can China benefit?
Other analysts, however, said affected companies will find a way to cope with measures imposed by Japan.

Jesper Koll, senior advisor at WisdomTree Investments, told CNBC last week that the total value of products affected by Japan’s curbs is less than $450 million. He predicted that if Tokyo implements further restrictions, “people will scramble but the overall damage is going to be teeny.”

And Chinese companies could potentially step in to fill any shortfall in the supply of tech parts, said Stangarone.

“At a time when the United States has raised concerns around China-based technology companies, the Japan-Korea dispute creates space in the market for (Chinese) state-backed firms to establish themselves as potential players,” he told CNBC in an email.



“Even though they are not yet as advanced as chipmakers like Samsung or Micron, these firms have the opportunity to substitute supply if there are market disruptions, ” he added.

Baig is less optimistic about China’s potential to substitute Japan as a major supplier to South Korea. He explained that there are reasons why Japan has the competitive advantage to supply those materials in the first place, and China may find it hard to replicate the same edge.

“Can China be a beneficiary? I have my doubts,” he said. “You can’t reinvent those supply chains and re-calibrate them so easily, even if you’re China.”

— Reuters contributed to this report.