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To: John Bloxom who wrote (12931)1/21/1998 8:49:00 PM
From: TideGlider  Respond to of 25960
 
Korean Chip Capital Spending May Be Halved
By Jack Robertson, Semiconductor Business News

South Korean chip manufacturers will spend about $2 billion on
semiconductor equipment in 1998 -- about half of what they
collective spent in 1997 and 1996, according to a new forecast
presented in Seoul Wednesday at the Semicon Korea trade show.

Faced with the country's economic crisis, Korean companies are
expected to hold back on adding new capacity this year, said
Chi-Luck Kim, president of the Korea Semiconductor Industry
Association. He said capital investment will be focused on
technology purchases to upgrade existing fabs.

One indication of sharp cutbacks in Korean capital spending is LG
Semicon alone spent $2 billion on equipment in 1997 -- as much as
the total Korean industry is expected to spend this year.

In the fourth quarter 1997, semiconductor equipment sales in Asia
-- excluding Japan -- fell 17 percent to $2.5 billion, according to
Paul Davis, vice president of international operations at the
Semiconductor Equipment and Materials International (SEMI)
trade group, which sponsors Semicon Korea. Davis said he
couldn't forecast what will happen in the immediate future, though
he felt the original projections for Asia might be tempered a little.

"Taiwan, however, is continuing to order equipment, and even in
Korea, we expect further buying of technology equipment," he said.

Meanwhile, Kim of the Korean chip association said the worst
"may be over in severe price cutting on the 16-megabit
DRAMs." Kim said he believed U.S.-based Micron Technology
"has peaked on its 16-megabit production" so the rampant
increases in supply that crippled the market in 1997 may be
moderating.

If 16-megabit prices stabilize, that could help the 64-megabit
market, Kim said.

"If 16-megabit DRAM prices stabilize, the four-times price
crossover of 64 megabits could occur in the second quarter of this
year," Kim said. In turn, that could kick off the market for the
next-generation device, which he hoped would bring better profit
margins to the hard-strapped DRAM producers -- especially those
in Korea.