To: John Morelli who wrote (828 ) 1/22/1998 1:29:00 PM From: Noblesse Oblige Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 3247
To the "thread," There is no point in addressing this issue with Reuters. I doubt that "misinformation" is the reason the stock is down. The most important issue is what I would consider *obsessive* "concern" with the first quarter numbers. Those that are "ungenerous" undoubtedly look at the first quarter probable results as not "sustaining" (remember that poisoned third quarter note?!?!?) the earlier quarter's results. All of this will be irrelevant in a mere few months, as the very high order rates begin to assert themselves in relation to the stock price. To further "complicate" today's lack of interest, it is my understanding that many of TFS's local investors are hiking around the golf course, probably rooting for Tiger Woods in the Phoenix Open. The problem, of course, is lack of liquidity and a reasonably unsophisticated shareholder base. Eventually, there may be greater institutional interest in this stock. Until then (and with this specialist) anyone that has 10,000 shares to sell (and chooses to do so when there is an inadequate book of bids) will have a magnified impact on the stock price. For investors, of course, it is the stock's *value" that is the important number, and all that the price represents (assuming you don't care about your marks to the market) is an opportunity to ascertain the opportunities currently inherent in that number. My own theory (for what it is worth), is that the shares will be in a trading range for the next few months (up until the report of the first quarter numbers), and then the strong business conditions we anticipate over the following 12-18 months will assert themselves in price. For market timers, it means "Not yet." For investors, it means "O P P O R T U N I T Y". Have a good day.