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Strategies & Market Trends : Convertible Hedge investors? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: chevalier who wrote (49)1/22/1998 4:56:00 PM
From: Ted S  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 107
 
Hi Ari,

I'm just getting my feet wet on conv hedges, so I'm still looking for the "best strategy".

Sounds like you are into full hedges generating a constant stream of income from the interest ?

What do you think about the Abrams method of half hedges and making money on the stock fluctuations ?

Which do you think offers a consistently higher ROI ?

Just curious.

Ted S



To: chevalier who wrote (49)1/27/1998 1:03:00 PM
From: Ted S  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 107
 
Hi Ari and Scott Mc,

Let me see if I have the critical factors for full hedges:

1. Pick low premium situations. The lower they are, the less chance of going lower later if you close the hedge.

2. Pick high interest rate differences between bond and common. Maximize interest stream.

3. Pick low bond prices. At least below parity. Maximize bond appreciation to face value.


Long term strategy: buy and hold.
a. Wait until expiration.
b. Profit from:
- stream of interest payments.
- rise of bond to face value.

Short term strategy: close hedge during favorable conditions.
a. Wait for stock price to drop. Premium jumps.
b. Profit from:
- Close hedge at profit from opening position.
- Income from interest stream.

The only problem with the short term strategy is that after closing the hedge, you have to be able to jump into another hedge that has an ROI equal to better than the first one. Could be tough if the pickings are scarce.

Have I missed anything guys?

Ted