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Technology Stocks : Ascend Communications (ASND) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Jan Crawley who wrote (31721)1/22/1998 2:36:00 PM
From: Jeff Jordan  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 61433
 

Moved my down to $26 GTC.
Tim says asnd up $1 tomorrow? maybe? But where will it close?

Also just sold ORCL for a S-T profit. Had planned to hold long term. I think I understand why so many people are taking their s-t profit from ASND. I remember that you also purchased ORCL back several days ago ?

Yes, ORCL looks alittle choppy, I sold @20.25 the other day got into QCOM.Any other time in the market I would hold all these and other positions.

I'm watching RMBS closely coming into my buy range...still expecting it to hit new low? 44-38? earnings expected to be flat next 2 qtrs, very negative effect I think.

I think the excitement is over for a week or so in ASND...now dealing w/ market woes...my core position was too big to stay put for now.

Speed; will we be lucky enough to get back in @ 53? I'm gonna start buying@ 53.5.....chart now back tracking

JJ



To: Jan Crawley who wrote (31721)1/22/1998 5:13:00 PM
From: Jeff Jordan  Respond to of 61433
 
**OT**
Also just sold ORCL for a S-T profit. Had planned to hold long term.

THURSDAY, JANUARY 22, 1998
How Oracle's Asian
Smokescreen Hides Its Real
Problems

Eric Fleming
ZD Inter@ctive Investor

It is true Oracle missed analysts' forecasts by $0.03 a share
in Q2, forcing it under the microscope as the poster boy of
bad Asian news.

But Oracle isn't that atypical -- Asia represents about 15%
of its sales, a figure that was dusted off again and again as
Informix, Sybase and other database competitors reported
their earnings.

Oracle blamed part of its shortfall on Asia's weakened
currencies, and, rather quietly, flat domestic demand for
databases. Its shares fell 29%, down $9.44 to $22.94. One by
one, analysts from investment banks downgraded the
shares and then blamed Asia for Oracle's problems -- and
Oracle for the database sector's problems.

But behind the Asia smokescreen is Oracle's real troubles.
Companies didn't need to upgrade to Oracle8 when Oracle7
worked fine. And companies were reluctant to dump their
PC-based systems and go back to the circa 1970s mainframe
(now called a server) by adopting CEO Larry Ellison's
network PCs (or in 1980s vernacular, the "dumb terminal").
Note: there was no word at press time if "portable storage
devices" (in 1970s terminology: punch-cards) were part of
the NC set-up.

To be sure, the prolonged economic slump in Asia hasn't
helped Oracle. But there are a lot of companies with a bigger
piece of the pie in Asia -- such as Intel, IBM and
Hewlett-Packard -- that are doing just fine because they
have their eggs in other global baskets, such as Europe.

Over a month later, not much has changed for Oracle.
Ellison still touts the network PC and the general sentiment
is that Oracle will need at least a few quarters to pull itself
from its hole.

Its shares closed at $20.25 on Jan. 20 as Asia's stocks rallied
on optimism about international relief efforts. The only relief
effort Oracle will see could be a friendly takeover bid in the
near future -- unless it concentrates on its core business
and product lines, none of which relate to Asia.