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Strategies & Market Trends : Roger's 1998 Short Picks -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Ploni who wrote (1224)1/22/1998 2:46:00 PM
From: Cosmo Daisey  Respond to of 18691
 
Dr. Stein,
I have shorted GTW in the past for good returns but its always one to keep an eye on because it turns quickly. GTW isn't a value added maker, just assembling parts from suppliers. Long term its who is the best at marketing that survives. I am out of GTW now and think its on a run up at the moment. My T/A says watch for now. Beware of analysts, they are usually telling the oposite of their intention. Earnings reports can be scary, caution is needed here. If it starts down there will be plenty of time to get in.
Dr Daisey



To: Ploni who wrote (1224)1/22/1998 2:54:00 PM
From: Oeconomicus  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 18691
 
Note of caution looking at GTW's PE. They took the proverbial bath last qtr, taking $113mm in "nonrecurring" charges. Don't know what their problems really are (other box makers make tons of money, even on $800 boxes), but the idea of a takeover isn't far fetched IMO as others might like to have an instant direct selling channel rather than building one up internally and also might be able to run it better. Price to sales, BTW, is only .9.

Bob



To: Ploni who wrote (1224)1/22/1998 4:53:00 PM
From: Bobby  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 18691
 
ITWO reported "16" cents, seemingly a penny above expectations which, IMHO, is no where close to sustain its high flyer momentum with a P/E of over 200. A close scrutiny of their statement would also show that the 16 cents excludes what they call "in-process and R&D costs" which, if included, would reduce earnings to 6 cents compared to 10 cents in the prior year period. I smell a rat!!