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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: carranza2 who wrote (151147)10/11/2019 6:02:14 AM
From: TobagoJack1 Recommendation

Recommended By
marcher

  Respond to of 217573
 
am thinking MacDonalds and such may be good, but as off shore person I get clopped w/ a dividend withholding tax at the USA side, so it makes sense for me to rely on the possibility that MCD either stay where it is or melt up, as opposed to melt down, and keep selling Puts to garner the premium (not taxable to offshore folks).

MCD, KO, ... as opposed to the REITs fit the profile, that which folks need

In the case of China Mobile, its dividend is twice covered, low PE, albeit revenue is RMB-based, and at start of 5G rollout capex cycle

if it wasn't for the hubbub of trade war, S&P can rise quite a bit instead of just chopping around making punters fatigued

Unclear to me what the expected 'interim mini trade deal' is supposed to be, and certainly have not the vaguest on what the alleged currency deal could be, but the details do not matter. Only optics count. Maybe.



To: carranza2 who wrote (151147)10/11/2019 11:44:37 AM
From: TobagoJack  Respond to of 217573
 
shorted TLT December 19 Put strike 138 for exercise, @ 2.36

shall watch MCD and KO for a bit, for am shy about the prospective strength of the US$

expecting gold / silver to continue correction



To: carranza2 who wrote (151147)10/13/2019 5:26:57 PM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 217573
 
Re <<thinking>>

Gold is indubitably beautiful and positively fun, and depending on PoV either dirt cheap, uselessly expensive, or somewhere in between.

I believe I understand the underpinning rationale for useless but cheap gold, reckoned its possible utility at personal level, I really did not seriously figured on its global-reset utility.

During the Asian Financial Crisis I read about gold helping to save people in Thailand when they sold gold at moment of extreme need (not different then selling anything else of value), and helping Korean nation to stabilise as folks there donated gold to the authorities.

I until now really did not consider how a sovereign monetary authority might use gold to reset / restart even as the thread name is about 2026 / 2032 - I mean, after all said and done, global monetary zero-state reset?! In our life time?! What makes us so special to be able to witness such?

And now the authorities engage w/ the possibilities, ... something about starting over. Phucked up, totally. What happens when the authorities continue to issue NIRP paper and use the proceeds to aggregate gold? Twisted ... would not.be good, and not.looking.good.

Now have to start considering all the possibilities we might imagine, even as we truthfully never imagined strange NIRP as extension of more familiar ZIRP until recently.

Greece able to issue NIRP was a wake up call to many including self. In own case my reaction was, let me precisely quote self, “whoa”

zerohedge.com

Central Bank Issues Stunning Warning: "If The Entire System Collapses, Gold Will Be Needed To Start Over"

It's not just "tinfoil blogs" who (for the past 11 years) have been warning that a monetary reset is inevitable and the only viable fallback option once trust and faith in fiat is lost, is a gold standard (something which even Mark Carney hinted at recently): central banks are joining the doom parade now too.

An article published by the De Nederlandsche Bank (DNB), or Dutch Central Bank, has shocked many with its claim that "if the entire system collapses, the gold stock provides a collateral to start over."

While gloomy predictions of a monetary reset are hardly new, they have traditionally been relegated to the fringe of mainstream financial thought - after all, as Mario Draghi stated on several occasions in recent years, the mere contemplation of a "doomsday scenario" is enough to create the self-fulfilling prophecy which materializes it. As such, it is stunning to see a mainstream financial institution open up about the superior value of limited supply, non-fiat, sound money assets. It is also hypocritical given the diametrically opposed Keynesian practices regularly engaged in by central banks and official institutions worldwide: after all, just a few months back, the IMF published a paper bashing Germany's adoption of the gold standard in the 1870s as the catalyst for instability in the global monetary system.

Fast forward to today, when the Dutch Central Bank is admitting not only did gold not destabilize the monetary system, but it will be its only savior when everything crashes.

The article, as loosely translated and titled “ Goud van DNB” (“Gold from DNB”) states:

"If things go wrong, prices may fall. But, crisis or not, a gold bar always holds value." This makes it the opposite of "shares, bonds and other securities" all of which have inherent risk.

Photo of gold bars from the DNB's article "Goud van DNB."According to the IMF's latest data, the DNB holds 615 tons (15,000 bars) of gold mainly in Amsterdam, with other stores in the U.K. and North America; the value of this gold reserve is over €6 billion ($6.62 billion). Calling gold the “trust anchor,” the article details briefly why the hard asset is so important to wealth building and the global economy, claiming: "Gold is... the trust anchor for the financial system. If the whole system collapses, the gold stock provides a collateral to start over. Gold gives confidence in the power of the central bank's balance sheet."

Why this sudden admission of what goldbugs have been saying for years? Perhaps it has to do with the fact that on October 7, the bank announced it would soon be moving a large part of its gold reserves to "the new DNB Cash Center at military premises in Zeist."

Almost as if the Netherlands is preparing for the grand reset, and is moving its most valuable asset to a "military" installation just for that purpose.

As bitcoin.com tongue-in-cheek points out, "DNB is no stranger to playing along with the Keynesian, inflationary games of the global monetary system. A system which, according to some, is now more a Ponzi scheme based on force and blind faith than sound economic principle. That notwithstanding, the centralized financial powers of the world know the real score, and that’s why hard assets like gold are hoarded and locked down while everyday, individual residents of these geopolitical jurisdictions are encouraged to spend and spend, going further into debt to prop up ultimately unsound national economies."

It is hardly a coincidence that in its preparation for monetary doomsday, the Dutsch Central Bank is also set to begin cracking down on crypto exchanges and wallets, stating that "firms offering services for the exchange between cryptos and regular money, and crypto wallet providers must register with De Nederlandsche Bank."

While the push for greater KYC/AML transparency is a growing global trend, and is hardly surprising in a world in which trillions in assets reside in "tax-evading" offshore jurisdiction, the remarkable aspect of this latest crackdown against crypto - which many see as a modern, more efficient form of "gold" - is the fact that invasive regulations and restrictions by central banks can be seen as yet another means of stockpiling precious assets. This time, not gold bars, but bitcoin and crypto.

As for the timing of the "great monetary reset", which other central banks have already quietly hinted at themselves amid massive repatriation of physical gold from the New York Fed to various European central banks such as Germany and Austria, we are confidentthat the trust-keepers of the current establishment - such as other central banks and the IMF - will be kind enough to provide ample advance notice to the citizens of the "developed" world to exchange their fiat into hard assets. Or, then again, perhaps not.