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Strategies & Market Trends : Dino's Bar & Grill -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Goose94 who wrote (70182)11/23/2019 10:26:37 PM
From: Goose94Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 202704
 
MEG Energy (MEG-T) released its 2020 guidance Its planned budget is $250-million, nearly 10-per-cent lower than analysts were forecasting. Production guidance of 94,000 to 97,000 barrels a day is fairly close to analysts' forecasts of a firm 97,000 barrels a day, and represents a roughly 3-per-cent increase over this year's expected production of about 92,500 barrels a day (a target that was hiked last month from about 91,000 barrels a day). The trim budget partly reflects years of cost-cutting efforts. For example, non-energy operating costs (which exclude gas consumption) are forecast at about $4.70 per barrel next year, down from over $8 per barrel in 2014. MEG is optimistic that it will bring in more than enough cash flow to cover its budget, and will use the extra cash flow to keep paying down its debt. It patted itself on the back for having already reduced its debt by about $500-million so far this year.

Half a billion is no small amount, but neither is the remaining debt, which was about $3.1-billion (net) as of Sept. 30. The burdened balance sheet is a large part of why MEG's stock has fallen to $5.60 from its 2011 peak of nearly $53. In a research note this morning, Scotia Capital analyst Jason Bouvier noted that MEG's 2020 debt-to-cash-flow ratio is about 3.9 times, well above its large-cap competitors' average of just 1.3 times. Using free cash flow to repay debt is "the most sensible strategy for MEG," opined Mr. Bouvier. He viewed MEG's 2020 budget announcement as a "modest positive" in light of the "lower-than-expected cost structure." Mr. Bouvier has a "sector perform" rating on MEG and a price target of $7.

Business Reporter