SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Gold/Mining/Energy : Canadian Oil & Gas Companies -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Rick W. who wrote (4549)1/23/1998 2:45:00 PM
From: Kerm Yerman  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 24921
 
R.W. / Pacalta Resources

I don't follow the company closely. Further, I don't know what the
leatest news release means to the company in terms of what had been
forecasted.

Pacalta is a wonderful story. However, of all the companies in the
"high flyer" category, this is the one that had the highest premium
built into to their cash flow multiple. I could never understand why
the company sold at so high a multiple. Here's what the picture looks
right now.

SYM HI LO JAN 23 97 CF 98 CF 99 CF 97CF/P 98CF/P 99CF/P
PAZ $27.40 $ 8.00 $ 9.55 $0.27 $1.04 $1.87 35.4X 9.2X 5.1X

You can calculate cash flow/price multiples at the high of $27.40 and
you can begin to understand why I felt shares were at astronomical
levels. Back in June I mentioned this and said there was no room for
error. When one looks at shares today, after the stock has already
lost about 65% of its market cap, there is still premium built into
the current share price ---- and still no room for error. Keep in
mind, if the company falls short of their forecast, these numbers will
still loom larger, or shares will further fall to maintain the
multiples.

It will be interesting to learn of NAV in relation to share price
value. I couldn't find any past NAV numbers.