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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: TobagoJack who wrote (152359)1/7/2020 11:46:51 AM
From: louel1 Recommendation

Recommended By
pak73

  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 217764
 
On second thought. The Saudis are allies of the USA and adversaries of Iran. It was Solomieni who orchestrated the attack on the Saudi oil facilities.

C&P Non relevant jargon edited;

"In many ways it doesn’t really matter who — Houthis in Yemen? Iranians? Shiites in Iraq? — launched those missiles and drones at Saudi Arabia. Whoever did it changed the rules of the game, and not just in the Middle East. “It’s a moment when offense laps defense, when the strong have reason to fear the weak,” observes military historian Jack Radey. "
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All of these groups are known to be connected to Iran and under senior direction of Solomiemi .
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" The September 14 attack on Saudi Arabia’s Aramco refineries at Abqaiq and Khurais did more than knock out 50 percent of Saudi Arabia’s oil production — it shook the pillars of Washington’s foreign policy in the region and demonstrated the fragility of the world’s energy supply.

The End of the Carter Doctrine?

Since 1945, Washington’s policy in the Middle East has been to control the world’s major energy supplies by politically and militarily dominating the Persian Gulf, which represents about 15 percent of the globe’s resources. The 1979 Carter Doctrine explicitly stated that the U.S. reserved the right to use military force in the case of any threat to the region’s oil and gas.

To that end, Washington has spread a network of bases throughout the area and keeps one of its major naval fleets, the Fifth, headquartered in the Gulf. It has armed its allies and fought several wars to ensure its primacy in the region.

Washington blames Iran, but the evidence for that is dodgy. The Trump administration and the Saudis have scaled back blaming Tehran directly, instead saying the Iranians “sponsored” the attack.

One suspects that the generals made it clear that, while they can blow up a lot of Iranians, a shooting war would not be cost free. Trump’s dialed down of his rhetoric over Iran. The White House has clearly ruled out a military response in the short run.

(Relaxing Iran's heightened guard. Preparing the trap. Solomieni was under travel ban from leaving Iran.)

The U.S. is certainly not withdrawing from the Middle East. In spite of the fact that the United States is the world’s largest oil producer, they still import a million barrels per day from Saudi Arabia. Europe is much more dependent on Gulf oil, as are the Chinese and Indians. The U.S. is not going to easily forego its 70 year grip on the region.

Stalemates can be dangerous because there is an incentive to try and break them by introducing some game changing weapon system. But stalemates also create the possibility for diplomatic solutions. That was certainly the case.

If a more centrist government emerges from this last round of Israeli elections, Israel may step back from Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s relentless campaign against Teheran. And Trump likes to promote deals.

This could create a new strategic balance, says Newclick Editor-In-Chief Prabir Purkayastha in the Asia Times, “and the sooner the U.S. and its NATO partners accept it, the quicker we will look for peace in the region.”

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Summing it up;

The Saudis could well have offered a meeting on neutral territory, With the person responsible for organizing the attack on their oil fields. Luring him out of Iran placing him in a vulnerable position with full knowledge of the exact time he would land at the Bagdad airport and the transportation vehicles away from the Airport. Conveniently there was an American drone overhead carrying the type of low collateral damaging missile with laser accuracy designed for targeted executions.

If this was in effect a planned execution of a Terrorist it was well orchestrated. The Democrats were sucking up all the oxygen with the Impeachment process . Reporters and Media were distracted from overseas affairs. Temporarily easing middle east tensions.

There is an old adage, Rather than constantly watching the waving Red Flag. Looking for an ulterior reason of why it is waving can be much more informative.

Solomieni is gone without boots on the ground. Iran has other generals true, But he was the head of the snake..


The US will shoulder the blame not the Saudis who will claim hey had nothing to do with it. They are located to close to Iran and no where the might of the US forces should push come to shove.








To: TobagoJack who wrote (152359)1/7/2020 5:44:51 PM
From: Cogito Ergo Sum  Read Replies (8) | Respond to of 217764
 
Message 32492547



To: TobagoJack who wrote (152359)1/18/2020 10:09:50 AM
From: Pogeu Mahone1 Recommendation

Recommended By
pak73

  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 217764
 
Saudi Arabia is very happy Soleimani is dead.

carnegieendowment.org › 2020/01/07 › what-does-u.s.-killing-of-solei...

What Does the US Killing of Soleimani Mean for Saudi Arabia?



Jan 7, 2020 -Official media in Saudi Arabia celebrated the U.S. strike that killed Qassem ... He was a top priority in the Saudi threat perception of Iran.