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To: TREND1 who wrote (27082)1/24/1998 11:10:00 AM
From: Scotsman  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 53903
 
I like the discussion on this board. I am actually more into wafers than memory, but they have similar problems. And I am considering taking a stake in MU for a long term hold.

As far as fabs being built, no one in their right mind is going to build a fab here or in Europe that produces a product that has a falling price. It would be a very hard sell to the financial guys. I don't anticipate any further memory expansion coming on line any time soon, with the exception of plants that have already been built and are currently idled.
Asia, I think, is going to help MU overall. Yes, they have cheap labor, and they have a lot of fabs. But the Asian countrys, with the important exception of Korea, are having not only a currency crisis, but a credit crisis. They are having a difficult time,from what I have seen on CNBC and other shows like it, in getting raw materials and other such mundain stuff. So I anticipate that several of these plants will be shutting down over the next year. Decreased supply. These plants in Asia don't feed their own country,they are exporters to the USA and Europe. There is no problem there, so demand will still be strong. Reduced supply and steady demand equal increased prices.

Sure, at some point, more plants will be built. But I don't think it will be any time in 1998, and probably not until late 1999 unless prices go soaring. If that happens I won't care because MU will be soaring with them and I would be a happy camper.



To: TREND1 who wrote (27082)1/24/1998 7:04:00 PM
From: Ted The Technician  Respond to of 53903
 
Micron to pressure Congress over South Korean bailout

Copyright c 1998 Nando.net
Copyright c 1998 Agence France-Presse

SEATTLE (January 24, 1998 12:13 p.m. EST ) - Micron
Technology, which has witnessed a two-year price drop on its semiconductor
products, is about to pressure the U.S. government to condition the bailout of
South Korea's stricken economy.

Early next month, Steven Appleton, chairman of the Idaho chipmaker, will testify
before the House of Representatives to raise concerns about a South Korean
semiconductor industry that Micron says enjoys an unfair advantage over U.S.
competitors.

Appleton is set to argue that the $57 billion International Monetary Fund loan
package to Seoul will prolong unfair business practices in South Korea unless
industry reforms are instituted, Micron spokeswoman Julie Nash said.

continued at ...http://www2.nando.net/newsroom/ntn/biz/012498/biz20_9697_noframes.html