SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: carranza2 who wrote (152409)1/9/2020 11:31:33 PM
From: TobagoJack  Respond to of 217737
 
:0)

... and here is a simpler shorthand, a telephone number, supposedly good for dialling mid-month next week, toll-free, 1.800.GET.ME.OUT

The only uncertainty/ debate amongst the boyz is whether the number applies to gold shares, or only to other shares.

Debate should be settled in a few days.

I do not see catalyst but only know, yes, everything is high (so what else is new) and / but, maybe not high relative to bonds, and if so, nothing matters, and continues the crash up.



To: carranza2 who wrote (152409)1/12/2020 3:13:59 AM
From: TobagoJack1 Recommendation

Recommended By
Arran Yuan

  Respond to of 217737
 
Within the mining space a typical read ... all good, all went up, all still look okay ...




To: carranza2 who wrote (152409)1/12/2020 11:31:08 PM
From: TobagoJack  Respond to of 217737
 
An important week per a lot of folks including Armstrong ...




To: carranza2 who wrote (152409)1/13/2020 9:23:01 PM
From: TobagoJack2 Recommendations

Recommended By
Gemlaoshi
SirWalterRalegh

  Respond to of 217737
 
speaking of games, etc etc

oaktreecapital.com




To: carranza2 who wrote (152409)1/13/2020 9:59:30 PM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 217737
 
We are playing to GDDWEEU (gold down, dollar whatever, everything else up), and

gold continues giving back the Iran premium

might stop and pay respect at 1515, and might go through the floor on way to 1430

If 1430, big if, buy buy buy, until our eyeballs sweat

too many big players need to add

kitco.com




To: carranza2 who wrote (152409)1/13/2020 10:06:57 PM
From: TobagoJack  Respond to of 217737
 
On 14 Jan 2020, at 1:28 AM, H wrote:

Put/call ratios are very extreme.

http://www.indexindicators.com/charts/sp500-vs-put-call-ratio-total-1d-sma-params-5y-x-x-10ma/

and

https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24CPCE&p=D&st=2005-09-07&id=p22206208813

And many other measures as well

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-01-11/strategist-who-nailed-2019-u-s-stock-surge-warns-on-positioning?srnd=markets-vp

Systematic strategies have raised equity exposure to the top of their ranges -- to where the only time it was higher was in January 2018, prior to the large February sell-off, the strategists said. In addition, discretionary investors are now “clearly overweight” at the highest levels since October 2018, and equity futures long positioning for asset managers and leveraged funds combined is near record highs, they said.

Other extended indicators mentioned by Deutsche Bank include:

Longs in emerging-market futures have risen to record highs

Call/put volume ratios are at the top of their historical range

Short interest in single stocks is near record lows

Short interest in exchange-traded funds has fallen to a new low

RYDEX in full lunacy mode as well (see chart). It hasn't mean anything so far, but think of it as kinetic energy. The fact that the extremes have persisted for such a long time

doesn't mean the situation is any less dangerous - it means the opposite. Mutual fund cash is at a new all time low as well. At the peak in 2000 it stood at 4.4% of assets, then

also an all time low. Today it stands at 2.8%. At the beginning of the secular bull market in 1982 and in its early stages (until 1990) it was in low to mid double digits.

On Sun, Jan 12, 2020 at 11:05 PM J wrote:

Does that mean you believe 2020 is more or less in trend w/ 2019, or there could be a break, or just wait n see?








To: carranza2 who wrote (152409)1/14/2020 4:02:27 AM
From: TobagoJack  Respond to of 217737
 
Fun to ponder, from the Armstrong scribbles, about the gold-rush induced local inflation in California ...