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Technology Stocks : Ericsson overlook? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Howard Bennett who wrote (1239)1/25/1998 4:08:00 PM
From: George M. Giles  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 5390
 
What are the odds earnings will be .60+?



To: Howard Bennett who wrote (1239)1/27/1998 1:46:00 AM
From: MonsieurGonzo  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 5390
 
Howard; RE:" ERICY "

UNDERLYING: ERICY: 38-3/8 DIV.YIELD = 0.84% ($0.32/s MAY-97)

ADR (Stockholm); Supports: 37-7/8; 35-1/2; 34. Morning Star 12-JAN;
Trading Range = 34 to 40-1/4; Just broke DownTrend Line. P/E = 33.6

TACTIC: Diagonalized Call Ratio BackSpread

EXECUTION: Sell 1 RQCBG FEB 35 CALL @ 4 (delta = 0.82)
Buy 3 RQCDI APR 45 CALL @ 1-1/4 (delta = 0.28)

+ $400 credit for 1 RQCBG FEB 35
- $375 debit for 3 RQCDI APR 45
----------------------------------
+ $ 25 net credit of position {delta neutral = 1:3}

CHARACTERISTICS:

Profit limited on downside (to net credit received
when position is taken) but, open-ended in rally.

ERICY Price At Profit On Profit On
FEB Expiration 1 RQCBG 35C 3 RQCDI 45C PROFIT
-------------- ----------- ----------- ------

33 + 400 - 375 + 25
34 + 400 - 375 + 25
> 35 + 400 - 375 + 25
36 + 300 - 375 - 75
37 + 200 - 375 - 175
38 + 100 - 375 - 275
< 39 ..... - 375 - 375
40 - 100 - 75 - 175
> 41 - 200 + 225 + 25
42 - 300 + 525 + 225
43 - 400 + 825 + 425
44 - 500 +1125 + 625
45 - 600 +1425 + 825
46 - 700 +1725 +1025
47 - 800 +2025 +1225
48 - 900 +2325 +1425
49 -1000 +2625 +1625
50 -1100 +2925 +1825

-Steve



To: Howard Bennett who wrote (1239)1/27/1998 8:45:00 PM
From: Sverre Schriwer  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 5390
 
Hmm...

ERICY closed at $40 today, and I notice a 120K block at $39 13/16 in after hours trading.

In Stockholm the analysts expect another great Q, and as a matter of fact swedish TV quoted "Wall St leak of better than expected earnings" as contributing to todays action.

Well... seems to me that we might see a good report, but the ETSI standards meeting has more long term relevance in my eyes. If ERICY & NOKA wins, as seems very likely - the future prospects improve from great to even better.

Barring nasty surprises* I belive we just might se a small rally into thursday and perhaps even after.

*Such as I got when I went _very_ long on advance info on their last Q, which indeed turned out to be better than expected when it was released on october 23 last year... :-(

/Sverre