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Politics : Politics for Honest Conservatives -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: John Carragher who wrote (3046)	1/31/2020 6:43:59 PM
From: sense	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 3350

One of the vids I posted shows a guy walking to the grocery in downtown Wuhan to stock up for a week.. The streets were deserted... but he got his suitcase and backpack filled up with groceries for the week... Beyond that one vid... I don't have a very good feel for how well... or not... the logistics are being sustained for supporting the 50+ million people inside the high level quarantine zone. It is clear that the medical systems are overwhelmed... but not clear at all that the performance of the other critical infrastructure and supporting functions are being challenged... or, not clear at all how much they're being impacted. I'll have a look at that and see what I can find. The vids all show empty streets where a lot of the shops are shuttered... but it looks like the grocery stores continue to deliver supplies as required to sustain the people in quarantine zones... who aren't themselves otherwise restricted in terms of access to food/water ? How long that can be sustained with most people not working... I'd think is an open question. Two weeks is a longer period of time than most people HERE would be able to go without shopping. I don't know what is likely to be true in how well prepared China's people would be for a sudden 2 week long shutdown... Where things are likely to get interesting is if... in two weeks time... things are only vastly WORSE than they are now... which seems very likely to me... I don't see anything, yet, suggesting there is any ability to predict that the number of new cases is likely to begin a decline anytime soon. I don't think the quarantine we see is going to stop the spread... rather than foster more intense clustering. Even if it works in Wuhan... in whatever time it takes to work... the rest of the country isn't there, yet ? Wuhan might do OK as long as the food still flows in from other places... but, when those other places are suddenly just as much an issue as Wuhan ? We're probably still a week away from having enough data to give us an ability to make any projections about what happens next... in context of the current quarantine and treatment efforts...