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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: stsimon who wrote (153046)	2/5/2020 10:33:44 PM
From: TobagoJack	Respond to of 218023

Upside: either time to shoot an apocalypse movie or to loot banks zerohedge.com Downside: ladies are now shy about cuddle hugs

To: stsimon who wrote (153046)	2/5/2020 10:46:58 PM
From: TobagoJack	1 Recommendation Recommended By Horgad Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 218023

clearing in-tray On 6 Feb 2020, at 11:43 AM, m wrote: Just a few articles that may be of interest, but focused on science and not markets. Speculation on the trends for the infection rate, death rate, or really ANY metric, are probably pointless at this time. Talk of this being a bio-weapon is also probably nonsense (and it would an absurdly ineffective bio-weapon that targets the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions). At best it could be an accidentally released virus developed to assist in research, but I believe even this is unlikely. Still, for those curious, at the end of this email are a few articles on the pros and cons of the bio-weapon nonsense. An excellent collection of free papers from reputable journals. springernature.com A very good summary of the genomic efforts from a gold standard journal. sciencemag.org A case study of the first US patient from the NEJM. If you don't want to read this, at least look at the graph on page 3. The disease progression is unusual, and there may be a number of factors as to why this is. But, it makes diagnosis and treatment more difficult. There is some speculation (by some Chinese doctors on the ground) that imaging is more valuable than testing based on reverse transcription polymerase, as the tell-tale signs of lower lung infection can be identified in some patients. while the PCR testing has had lots of false results. nejm.org A more speculative paper, not yet peer reviewed, that looks at ACE2 receptors as possible reason why those of Asian ethnicity may be more susceptible to serious illness. biorxiv.org ncbi.nlm.nih.gov Something I mentioned before, which is the unfortunate event of cytokine storms in some patients. "Mainland Study: Severe or severe cytokine storm in the middle ages, strong immune system response, severe inflammation, injury to itself 2020/2/5 [Ming Pao News] New Coronavirus outbreak in the Mainland, the proportion of elderly patients aged 60 or above is high, and the situation is also seen in Hong Kong. Local cases account for 70%, but the first local deceased was 39 years old and had Diabetic strong man.Mainland researchers suspect that severe pneumonia patients in Wuhan are related to Cytokine storm, which is common in middle-aged adults. Senior physicians with experience in treating SARS patients in 2003 also believe that the cause of death of the dead in Hong Kong is indirectly related to cytokine storms, and cytokines Storms are common in SARS in severely ill patients aged 30 to 50 years... ..The new coronavirus that causes Wuhan pneumonia is suspected to cause cytokine storms in young patients and worsen the condition, as do SARS. Senior physicians who have dealt with SARS patients point out that two or three days after the cytokine storm occurs, some patients will develop acute respiratory distress syndrome, which makes it difficult for patients to breathe, and their condition will rapidly deteriorate and they must go to the intensive care department... Early Wuhan patients nearly 25 to 49 years old Researchers analyzed that nearly half of the 41 patients over 65 years of age were severely ill, but especially not that the older the age, the higher the rate of severe illness, 20 of these patients (nearly half) were 25 to 49 years old, More than one-third of them require intensive treatment, a significantly higher proportion than patients between 50 and 64 years of age...https://m.mingpao.com/pns/%e8%a6%81%e8%81%9e/article/20200205/s00001/1580841663147/%e5%85%a7%e5%9c%b0%e7%a0%94%e7%a9%b6-%e5%a3%af%e5%b9%b4%e9%87%8d%e7%97%87%e6%88%96%e9%97%9c%e7%b4%b0%e8%83%9e%e5%9b%a0%e5%ad%90%e9%a2%a8%e6%9a%b4-%e5%85%8d%e7%96%ab%e7%b3%bb%e7%b5%b1%e5%8f%8d%e6%87%89%e7%83%88-%e5%9a%b4%e9%87%8d%e7%82%8e%e7%97%87%e5%82%b7%e8%87%aa%e8%ba%ab Something completely safe you might want to consider if you are in a high risk area? Simply purchase some NAC at your local drugstore. Before you dismiss the potential of an over-the-counter supplement against a viral infection, read the following. NAC is incredible safe (it's basically an anti-oxidant and it's dirt cheap). "Antioxidants such as N-acetylcysteine can inhibit viral replication, which in turn reduces production of inflammatory mediators.1 Peroxisome proliferator-activated receptors help regulate inflammation, and their agonist agents have been used to combat the inflammatory response" americanlaboratory.com Last, four articles on the bioweapons nonsense. I would not read them, but if you are interested here they are. 1 pro and 3 con. web.archive.org@siradrianbond/coronavirus-2019-ncov-part-1-d6a338eed7c5 global.chinadaily.com.cn theprepared.com foreignpolicy.com

To: stsimon who wrote (153046)	2/5/2020 10:57:17 PM
From: TobagoJack	Respond to of 218023

Update, just in in-tray On 6 Feb 2020, at 11:22 AM, D wrote: Coronavirus (N) update at 1100hrs HKT on Thursday, Feb 56 2020 Key Take: There has been a drop in global new confirmed cases in the last 24hrs. This is predominantly due to China Mainland. Significantly, within China Mainland, it is down to a sharp reported drop in new confirmed outside Hubei Province. The number of suspected cases reported by the Chinese Authorities is also declining. It is still early days, but this may indicate that the spread of the disease within China may be coming under control. Between 1030hrs HKT on Feb 6, 2020 and our last update yesterday at the same time: 1. The number of new confirmed cases globally totalled 3723 down from 3929 during the previous 24 hrs. Total confirmed cases globally are now 28276. 2. In China Mainland new confirmed cases fell to 3694 from 3886. Total confirmed cases are 28018. Within China Mainland confirmed cases in Hubei Province total 19665 and total 8353 in all other regions. New cases outside Hubei rose 707 (subject to revision) in the last 24 hrs down from 1140 yesterday and approximately 2900 in each of the previous two days. This may be the first indication that the authorities are esteeming the spread of the virus. However, the data is volatile and the effect of Spring Festival in spreading the virus is as yet unknown given 10-14 day incubation period. 3. There were 29 new case outside China Mainland down from 43 the previous day. Total cases outside China Mainland are now 258. The major contributors were Japan (33 to 45); Singapore (24 to 28) and Hong Kong (18 to 21) 4. Globally fatalities rose from 492 to 565. Fatalities have risen to 563 from 490 in China Mainland. 5. The fatality rate globally has fallen from remains stable 2.00%. 6. The number of suspected cases in China Mainland is 186354. The number of new suspected cases on Wednesday (Feb 5) was 3971 compared to 5072 on Monday (Feb 3). <Wuhan Coronavirus Data - V6.xlsx>