Silicon Investor (SI) -- The First Internet Community

STOCKTALK

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor. We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community. If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.

Politics : View from the Center and Left -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: koan who wrote (429221)	2/6/2020 3:23:06 PM
From: NAG1	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 540807

koan, Racheal Biticore, who predicted 2018 better than anyone, and as I have posted, said what allowed the Dems to win in 2018 was "bringing out new voters" , which no one does better than Bernie by any measurement; not getting the right wing Republican's to vote for Bernie. According to this article on NPR, that is not the case apps.npr.org A snip from the article <<Entrance poll data from NBC News show that first-time caucusgoers were way downthis year. Just 35% were caucusing for the first time. Not only was that lower than the 57% in 2008, it’s lower than the 44% in 2016.>> I will vote for Sanders if he is the nominee but, IMO, he is the weakest in the general election against Trump. I think Sander's supporters are very passionate but that does not translate well to get others to vote for him. PS-Welcome back

To: koan who wrote (429221)

2/6/2020 6:36:17 PM

From: bentway

Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 540807

What did Professor Rachel Bitecofer mean when she said this about Bernie Sanders?

Looking ahead to the 2020 Electoral College map, my model delivers on two of the most critical elements of election forecasting: , that is, simplicity. It’s probably not lost on you, dear reader, that I am offering a forecast not for the presidential primary election, itself still in its infancy, but for the November 2020 general election that is some 16 months away. And I am offering a forecast free from all the trappings you are used to. There are no poll aggregators, no daily or weekly updates, no simple versus deluxe versions. Right now, there is not even a nominee! By and large, I don’t expect that the specific nominee the Democratic electorate chooses will matter all that much unless it ends up being a disruptor like Bernie Sanders.

cnu.edu

Bitecofer made news in 2018 by correctly predicting the midterm elections. She is now predicting a Democratic win in 2020 with a few caveats like the one mentioned above. Yes, Bernie tends to be a disrupter, but I don't see millions of people voting for trump just to avoid him.

Am I reading this correctly that she feels Bernie would send people to trump or keep them home on election day?

To: koan who wrote (429221)	2/6/2020 10:15:12 PM
From: Wharf Rat	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 540807

"What R's are supporting him? " Message 32537452 Message 32530787 "Have you not noticed the modern Nazi's still support Trump by 90%." I know. They are backing Bernie cuz he's the easiest to beat. "Racheal Biticore, who predicted 2018 better than anyone, and as I have posted, said what allowed the Dems to win in 2018 was "bringing out new voters" Tell her the turnout in Iowa was flat, and Bernie-Warren got 44.1%, 5.5 points behind what Bernie got in '16.