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To: Wildman262 who wrote (3218)	1/25/1998 11:40:00 AM
From: Sigmund	Respond to of 14266

Well, we have the opportunity now to establish how reliable PC Data is at estimating pc game sales in the U.S. We have a data point. But how do we go about assessing the reliability of this data point? Perhaps after the fourth guarter results are in we will be able to determine not only how many copies were shipped (which is not what PC Data was reporting as I understand it) but how many were sold. I try to determine the scale-up or scale down factors to apply to the numbers being compiled by field researchers and then apply this factor to future numbers that they report.

To: Wildman262 who wrote (3218)	1/25/1998 11:48:00 AM
From: Double Dipper	Respond to of 14266

Wildman, I'm sure you believe that channel checks are worthwhile. I Don't! Unless a very large sampling is taken, then correlated, and matched against other games on the market they are next to worthless. They might have value to mislead someone who reads these posts and causes them to buy a stock because several people reported about successful store sales in their area. I did say to check the resources and evaluate them for merit. That does include both the formal Wedbushes and the informal Company PR person whose job it is to put a SPIN on the info i.e. "PAX MET EXPECTATIONS" but no mention of what the expectations were. I am not a pure sceptic. I just like to temper enthusiasm with a healthy dose of reality about research. Thats all. There was nothing personal in my post that would suggest I was attacking anyone for there efforts. I simply was expressing my opinion. Like you, and me, everyone has an opinion and are entitled to it - no matter how right or wrong it may be. Kevin