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Politics : Formerly About Applied Materials -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Gottfried who wrote (15033)1/25/1998 4:50:00 PM
From: Teri Skogerboe  Respond to of 70976
 
GM & All,

I just finished scanning (as in reading quickly, not with a machine) this weeks Barron's and on page 44 Scott Black talks about the semi-equips in the part where he is recommending Cohu. Here is a snippet.

Q: Let's hear about your techs.
Black: I'm going to preface these remarks by saying the ideas are not based on any wild-eyed notion that semiconductor equipment as a whole is going to grow. There still may be estimates out there on the sell side of 10% and 15% growth but that is utter nonsense. Our numbers are predicated on somewhere between zero and 2% growth in nominal spending on semiconductor equipment. I talked to a lot of people in Silicon Valley last week. A good friend, who was a classmate, is the No. 2 person at KLA Instruments. He said that from what he sees, in general, the industry would be lucky if it is flat.
We have a few companies that are cheap. Most of them have limited exposure in Korea or Japan. The first I have owned off and on since 1980, Cohu Inc. out in San Diego. ....snip...

regards,
TS

PS. He also mentions AMAT and SVGI as having direct exposure to the Korea/Japan area. Also, when he recommended Cohu, it was 30-3/4 (from the chart on page 40).