To: I'manoledguy who wrote (24115 ) 2/24/2020 10:28:21 PM From: brasspenny 1 RecommendationRecommended By OLEDCLIMBER
Respond to of 29728 There appear to be similarities and differences between the swine flu of 2009 and today's. Much about this current strain is still being discovered. They both seemingly are very contagious and spread like any normal flu. They both attack the respiratory system. Seemingly unlike most flu they have a higher mortality rate with younger people (but this is still anecdotal with this current strain) than older people. The part that is different, based on Chinese data, is that the current strain is much more virulent, with a much higher mortality rate. For the 2009 flu; Asia had 394,133 confirmed infected with 2,137 confirmed deaths for a mortality rate of about 0.5%. Today, in total, we have 80,150 confirmed cases and 2699 deaths for a mortality rate of 3.4%. AND what is really scary is that there are 9216 people that are listed in critical or serious condition. We don't know how many of them will perish. (Average symptoms to death of 14 days) When looking at the 2009 flu, as it affected America, the CDC says that their model predicted 61 million Americans were infected and 12,469 died, giving a mortality rate of 0.02%. It was estimated that world wide in 2009 three times as many deaths occurred as in a normal flu season, mostly in third world countries. Worldometer estimates that the 2009 swine flu had a mortality rate of 0.02%, currently the 2020 flu is estimated at 2%, or 100 times greater. The swine flu ran from April of 2009 to August 2010. Ours is starting earlier. I think these numbers tell why we are seeing the world react the way it is. I am hoping by jumping on this with both feet they can slow it down until the correct treatments and vaccine can be developed before it really does become a pandemic. cdc.gov worldometers.info verywellhealth.com en.wikipedia.org