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To: Julius Wong who wrote (153837)3/3/2020 7:35:12 AM
From: Pogeu Mahone  Respond to of 218201
 
In fact, if you’re not sick or taking care of people who are, wearing a mask comes with downsides.

Here’s what you need to know.

the U.S. Surgeon General, Jerome M. Adams M.D., warned Americans, via Twitter: “ STOP BUYING MASKS!” He emphasized that masks don’t help prevent the spread of coronavirus in the general public.

Other experts agree. “In the research that’s been done, we don’t see any benefit at the community level for wearing the mask,” says Amanda McClelland, M.P.H., a senior vice president at Vital Strategies, a public health organization that focuses on global health threats.

MORE ON CORONAVIRUS
How to Protect Yourself From Coronavirus
Coronavirus FAQ: What You Need to Know About COVID-19
How the Spread of Coronavirus Could Affect Your Travel Plans
Stock Market Volatility: 3 Moves to Keep Your Investments on Track

Surgical masks, for instance, have a loose fit, which means that droplets of liquid—like what a person expels when they cough, and by which coronavirus is thought to be transmitted—can leak in around the sides of the mask.

The N95 respirators are more snug, but can be hard to fit properly. In fact, healthcare workers must take an annual test to prove that they can properly fit the device and create a full seal against leaks around the sides.

Additionally, face masks can be uncomfortable, so you may find yourself frequently adjusting the mask. Or you might take it off to eat or drink and then put it back on afterward. That defeats the purpose, McClelland says. “People contaminate themselves more by touching the mask and taking it on and off their face.”

Both surgical masks and N95 respirators are only meant to be used once and then thrown away—healthcare providers use a new mask for every patient, in part because masks can be contaminated by germs during use. But consumers may be tempted to reuse them, possibly spreading the virus to other surfaces or items, says Aaron Glatt, M.D., chairman of medicine at Mount Sinai South Nassau and professor at the Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai

To prevent that possibility, healthcare workers clean their hands every time they remove a mask, Schafner says.

As for those washable cloth masks you may see for sale, some evidence suggests that reusable masks aren’t the best option. A study in The BMJ in 2015 found that healthcare workers using cloth masks were more likely to be infected with respiratory diseases than those who used disposable surgical masks, even when workers washed them at the end of each of their shifts.

In general, says Glatt (who wasn’t involved in the BMJ study), “the potential for contamination of such cloth masks is a real concern, especially if they are not cleaned properly.”

Still, if you do opt for a reusable mask, Schaffner recommends following the manufacturer’s instruction on how to clean it.

So Who Does Need a Mask?
People with symptoms that could be COVID-19— such as fever, cough, and shortness of breath—should wear a mask when they are around others, to limit the spread of infection, the CDC says.

In addition, since the novel coronavirus is thought to spread mainly between people who have close contact— meaning within six feet—with each other, those who are caring for someone suspected of having COVID-19 should also consider wearing a mask, according to the CDC and WHO.

If you’re in one of those groups, it’s important to use masks properly. Wash your hands before putting the mask on, and then try not to touch it . If you do, wash your hands again. Discard the mask as soon as it’s damp. To remove it, handle the elastic around your ears (not the front of the mask), throw it away immediately, either in a closed plastic bag or a bin with a lid, and wash your hands again. Don’t reuse the mask.

Healthcare workers should also use masks to protect themselves—preferably a N95—when caring for people suspected of having COVID-19, according to the CDC.

The Best Steps for Prevention
While masks are only considered appropriate for a small percentage of people, everyone should take the following steps to help prevent the spread of coronavirus and other infections.

“Impeccable hand hygiene is key,” says Isaac Bogoch, M.D., an epidemiologist and associate professor of infectious disease in the department of medicine at the University of Toronto. That’s to protect you from exposure to droplets of fluid from coughs or sneezes that contain the virus.

Wash hands frequently, hands, scrubbing thoroughly for the recommended 20 seconds.

Use hand sanitizer when you can’t get to a sink—after touching a handrail or door handle, on public transit, or using a shared keyboard at the library, for example.

Abstaining from touching your face is also important, because that’s how germs get transferred from your hands to your mouth or nose, and enter your body. “It’s easy to say but hard to do,” Bogoch admits, but now is the time to make this a habit.

And of course, cover any coughs or sneezes with a tissue, and if you can’t, sneeze or cough into the crook of your elbow. “Really, the main way to protect yourself from this virus is just practicing the same type of hygienic practices that you do during flu season,” notes Amesh Adalja, M.D., an infectious disease physician and senior scholar with the Johns Hopkins University Center for Health Security.

The Right Way to Wash Your Hands

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Catherine Roberts

I've spent years tackling subjects from urban health to medical marijuana to behavioral science—both as a city reporter for my hometown public radio station in Tulsa, Okla., and as a freelance writer. Now I cover health and food at Consumer Reports. My hobbies include tinkering with computer code and watching trashy TV. Follow me on Twitter: @catharob.

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To: Julius Wong who wrote (153837)3/3/2020 11:02:41 PM
From: TobagoJack  Respond to of 218201
 
this below sounds plausible, the part about 'we saw the future' and can account for it, assuming everything being equal, which they never are

bloomberg.com

China’s Economic Data Hints at What the U.S. Can Expect from Coronavirus

It helps to understand the trajectory of the virus.

Conor Sen3 March 2020, 19:00 GMT+2



Understanding the data.
Photographer: China News Service/Visual China Group
LISTEN TO ARTICLE
Coronavirus fears have escalated in the United States, with global conferences and international travel being canceled and consumers stocking up on bleach and disinfectants. As March begins, every economic data release will be scrutinized for signs of weakness. At the same time, China, the origin of the contagion, appears to be slowly normalizing after weeks of shuttered factories and locked down cities. This dynamic of economic deterioration in the United States as China embarks on a recovery is likely to maintain a confusing environment for investors for the foreseeable future.

But the United States also has a unique opportunity: because China has been going through the exact same crisis since January, we can look at the trajectory of their experience and think about what it could mean for us.

Setting aside the initial period where China didn't know what it was dealing with, the arc of the virus has gone from an awareness of its spread and risk to the community, to containment efforts including some shuttering of economic activity, to a period of quarantines and treating patients with the virus, to a gradual return to normalcy with vigilance about renewed growth in caseloads.

The tricky part in thinking through this sequence of events is understanding the lags between health and economic risks and when the data is actually reported; in other words, by the time the scary numbers are reported, the biggest risks may already be in the past. An explosion in the number of people testing positive for the virus shows that transmission has occurred, but it's also a result of public health workers having a system where they can run large numbers of tests every day. If the experience of other countries is any indication, before long the United States will be reporting large numbers of positive tests for the coronavirus, perhaps beginning in Washington state. But a growth in reported cases will in some ways be a positive sign that we're now effectively detecting transmission as it occurs, and hopefully taking action to prevent further outbreaks.

Similarly, there's a lag between when economic activity drops and when it's accounted for in the data, particularly when shocks are so acute. Over the weekend, China reported that its factory activity last month was the weakest on record – but this is coming more than five weeks after its lockdown of Wuhan and other cities in Hubei province, and therefore doesn’t capture some of the improvement that appears to have taken place over the past couple weeks. Depending upon the intensity and brevity of virus-related containment efforts in the United States, it's possible that recovery will be underway by the time we get monthly data showing the downturn in activity.

There are encouraging signs that, economically, the worst is behind China. Apple CEO Tim Cook said last week that its factories and stores in China are reopening. Starbucks announced last week that more than 85% of its stores in China are now open. Traffic in Beijing appears to be picking up, as is overall economic activity. Fiscal and monetary stimulus should help offset short-term economic shocks.

In China the time period from outbreak to containment efforts to a bottoming in economic activity took a little over a month. The unanswerable question is how long this process will take in the United States. Hopefully, tracking and mitigation efforts will ramp up before problems become as severe as they did in Hubei province. Assuming the situation in China continues to improve, there's at least a chance that the United States will have seen the worst of the virus by the end of March or early April and be on the path to recovery in the second quarter. Fiscal and monetary stimulus, while not vaccines for viruses, can help offset some of the short-term economic impacts we're likely to feel over the coming weeks.

It'll be important to be mindful of the lags between conditions on the ground and when that economic data is compiled and released to the public. The February jobs report released later this week will show no virus-related impact. The March jobs report will be compiled based on surveys completed in the middle of this month, likely before much economic activity has been impacted. If we're going to see meaningful job furloughs or losses as a result of the virus, it's possible those won't show up until the April jobs report released in early May, by which time the spread of the virus in the country may have stabilized, putting us on the road to recovery – a similar situation to what we're seeing in China now.

For now, it's probably best to track the speed of the recovery in China. It won't tell us about how bad things might get in the U.S., either with regards to the spread of the virus or the deterioration in the economy, but it might give us an idea about how quickly we can move past it once it's contained. It beats hysteria.

This column does not necessarily reflect the opinion of Bloomberg LP and its owners.

To contact the author of this story:
Conor Sen at csen9@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story:
Nicole Torres at ntorres51@bloomberg.net



To: Julius Wong who wrote (153837)3/4/2020 10:01:05 AM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 218201
 
the bad news ...

cnbc.com

Chinese scientists identify two strains of the coronavirus, indicating it’s already mutated at least once
Sam Meredith

A medical worker produces traditional Chinese medicine to treat patients infected by the COVID-19 coronavirus at a hospital in Wuhan in China’s central Hubei province on March 2, 2020.
STR | AFP via Getty Images

Researchers in China have found that two different types of the new coronavirus could be causing infections worldwide.

In a preliminary study published Tuesday, scientists at Peking University’s School of Life Sciences and the Institut Pasteur of Shanghai found that a more aggressive type of the new coronavirus had accounted for roughly 70% of analyzed strains, while 30% had been linked to a less aggressive type.

The more aggressive type of virus was found to be prevalent in the early stages of the outbreak in Wuhan — the Chinese city where COVID-19 was first detected late last year.

But the frequency of this type of virus has since decreased from early January.

The researchers said their results indicate the development of new variations of the spike in COVID-19 cases was “likely caused by mutations and natural selection besides recombination.”

“These findings strongly support an urgent need for further immediate, comprehensive studies that combine genomic data, epidemiological data, and chart records of the clinical symptoms of patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19),” they said.

Researchers cautioned that data examined in the study was still “very limited,” emphasizing that follow-up studies of a larger set of data would be needed to gain a “better understanding” of the evolution and epidemiology of COVID-19.

The findings were published in the National Science Review, the journal of the Chinese Academy of Sciences.

Travel restrictions
The study comes shortly after the WHO confirmed the fast-spreading virus had infected more than 93,000 people worldwide, with at least 3,100 deaths.

The vast majority of those cases have been reported in China, although the number of new daily infections overseas has now exceeded those in the world’s second-largest economy.

South Korea, Italy, Iran and Germany have all recorded sharp upticks in cases of the flu-like virus in recent days, with many countries imposing travel restrictions on virus-hit areas worldwide.

The outbreak has now spread to more than 70 countries, while the WHO has warned that COVID-19 could soon reach most, “if not all,” nations around the world.




To: Julius Wong who wrote (153837)3/4/2020 10:01:56 AM
From: TobagoJack2 Recommendations

Recommended By
marcher
pak73

  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 218201
 
the good news ...

ncbi.nlm.nih.gov

Can Chinese Medicine Be Used for Prevention of Corona Virus Disease 2019 (COVID-19)? A Review of Historical Classics, Research Evidence and Current Prevention Programs.OBJECTIVE: Since December 2019, an outbreak of corona virus disease 2019 (COVID-19) occurred in Wuhan, and rapidly spread to almost all parts of China. This was followed by prevention programs recommending Chinese medicine (CM) for the prevention. In order to provide evidence for CM recommendations, we reviewed ancient classics and human studies.

METHODS: Historical records on prevention and treatment of infections in CM classics, clinical evidence of CM on the prevention of severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) and H1N1 influenza, and CM prevention programs issued by health authorities in China since the COVID-19 outbreak were retrieved from different databases and websites till 12 February, 2020. Research evidence included data from clinical trials, cohort or other population studies using CM for preventing contagious respiratory virus diseases.

RESULTS: The use of CM to prevent epidemics of infectious diseases was traced back to ancient Chinese practice cited in Huangdi's Internal Classic (Huang Di Nei Jing) where preventive effects were recorded. There were 3 studies using CM for prevention of SARS and 4 studies for H1N1 influenza. None of the participants who took CM contracted SARS in the 3 studies. The infection rate of H1N1 influenza in the CM group was significantly lower than the non-CM group (relative risk 0.36, 95% confidence interval 0.24-0.52; n=4). For prevention of COVID-19, 23 provinces in China issued CM programs. The main principles of CM use were to tonify qi to protect from external pathogens, disperse wind and discharge heat, and resolve dampness. The most frequently used herbs included Radix astragali (Huangqi), Radix glycyrrhizae (Gancao), Radix saposhnikoviae (Fangfeng), Rhizoma Atractylodis Macrocephalae (Baizhu), Lonicerae Japonicae Flos (Jinyinhua), and Fructus forsythia (Lianqiao).

CONCLUSIONS: Based on historical records and human evidence of SARS and H1N1 influenza prevention, Chinese herbal formula could be an alternative approach for prevention of COVID-19 in high-risk population. Prospective, rigorous population studies are warranted to confirm the potential preventive effect of CM.




To: Julius Wong who wrote (153837)3/4/2020 10:29:16 AM
From: TobagoJack1 Recommendation

Recommended By
marcher

  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 218201
 
I catch cold or flu once every 3-5 years, triggered by whatever the kids manage to bring back from school, or some smoker on the side of the street

as far as I am concerned, all such can be headed of at first sign of trouble, add water, stir, take hot bath, drink the brew (okay tasting) and go to sleep, sweat it out, take in chicken soup, and all done, either 1 day if caught early, or 1 week if hit late, easy. that and sunshine ...

the meds I carry w/ me everywhere I go, just in case, because I do not like flu





en.wikipedia.org (Tong Ren Tang founded 1669)

available on eBay