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To: Sam who wrote (84739)	3/11/2020 5:56:22 PM
From: FJB	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 95487

The original claim by Sean Davis is that Wuhan Virus is INSANELY OVERHYPED. I will amend my bet TO TEST IF EVEN YOU BELIEVE THE HYPE. IF YOU believe that Wuhan Virus is 10X more horrible than the flu, put your money where your belief is. I bet $100 that Wuhan Virus does NOT cause 20,000 US deaths in 2020, which is just below the flu average per year. 80,000 Americans die EACH YEAR from overdoses by comparison. To be paid via PayPal, Google Wallet or Apple Pay...

To: Sam who wrote (84739)

3/12/2020 8:28:35 AM

From: w0z

1 Recommendation

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FJB

Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 95487

I heard a few interesting facts:

1. No Korean deaths below age 30.
2. No Japanese deaths below age 50.
3. Average age of US deaths to date is 80.

From: worldometers.info

The Report of the WHO-China Joint Mission published on Feb. 28 by WHO, [ 2] which is based on 55,924 laboratory confirmed cases. The report notes that "The Joint Mission acknowledges the known challenges and biases of reporting crude CFR early in an epidemic" (see also our discussion on: How to calculate the mortality rate during an outbreak)A paper by the Chinese CCDC released on Feb. 17, which is based on 72,314 confirmed, suspected, and asymptomatic cases of COVID-19 in China as of Feb. 11, and was published in the Chinese Journal of Epidemiology [ 1]
We will list data from both, labeling them as "confirmed cases" and "all cases" respectively in the tables.

Age of Coronavirus DeathsCOVID-19 Fatality Rate by AGE:*Death Rate = (number of deaths / number of cases) = probability of dying if infected by the virus (%). This probability differs depending on the age group. The percentages shown below do not have to add up to 100%, as they do NOT represent share of deaths by age group. Rather, it represents, for a person in a given age group, the risk of dying if infected with COVID-19.

AGE	DEATH RATE confirmed cases	DEATH RATE all cases
80+ years old	21.9%	14.8%
70-79 years old		8.0%
60-69 years old		3.6%
50-59 years old		1.3%
40-49 years old		0.4%
30-39 years old		0.2%
20-29 years old		0.2%
10-19 years old		0.2%
0-9 years old		no fatalities

*Death Rate = (number of deaths / number of cases) = probability of dying if infected by the virus (%). The percentages do not have to add up to 100%, as they do NOT represent share of deaths by age group.

In general, relatively few cases are seen among children.