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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Pogeu Mahone who wrote (154203)	3/11/2020 10:31:45 PM
From: Dr. Voodoo	Respond to of 217979

Am super busy,,, but when I get time I will address more. 1.) spent time looking at influenza transmission rates recent, net-net world compared to USA. China = USA who.int 2.) Net net death rate also same: worldlifeexpectancy.com 3.) look geography and consider points/ports of entry: SEA, LAX, SFO, ORD, JFK-LGA, EWR and ATL = largest hubs,,, IAH, and IAD not yet in full bloom. cdc.gov Is already baked, and we are baked. When testing gets fully ramped up,,,prepare for at least a 10X in cases from 1200. Possibly 2X in week and 2 X again before slow down. 40,000 seems about a good WAG at this time before flattening,, at least give or take. For a country of 300 MM compared to 1.3 BB

To: Pogeu Mahone who wrote (154203)	3/12/2020 8:53:31 AM
From: TobagoJack	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 217979

re <<I do not recall a major hospital in Boston being closed for any reason>> the more outrageous is always around the corner ask-socrates.com Blog Goldman Sachs Forecasting Bull Market Over & the Crisis Ahead Goldman Sachs, which provides the traditionally based forecasting, is saying that the bull market is over and the stock market will drop another 15% all based upon lower interest rates and lower earnings. Of course, Goldman Sachs was warning the stock market would crash back in February 2018. The fact that we have the typical fundamental analysis shifting back to a bearish trend calling for the end of the bull market is a good sign that we can build the pattern as we move forward in time for a slingshot up. The big issue seems to go over everyone's head. You normally have the bonds rally in a flight to quality as equities crash. Here we have the early stages which are being glossed-over by the Fed intervening into the Repo Market. Normally, interest rates soar at the first sign of a financial crisis because people see credit risks rising. This can go further becoming what we call now the Lehman Moment. But rates rise, they do not decline. We can see the flight to quality has unfolded and finally broken into the original uptrend channel. March was a target for a high in the bonds and this was also a Double Directional Change target. However, it will be the July-September time period where volatility will rise. Clearly, we are not out of the woods just yet as we approach 2021 and the coming Monetary Crisis. Politicians are seeking to use the Coronavirus as an excuse for all sorts of things. The Democrats want to use it to shelter illegal aliens who do not pay taxes or are legally allowed to even vote. They want to use this to justify sanctuary cities to harbor these sick aliens! Then they want free healthcare for everyone with the Coronavirus? It seems very strange why they seek so hard to protect illegal aliens and raise taxes on legal citizens to shelter illegal people. I am not even sure where this logic comes from other than it is just the opposite of anything Trump proposes. The slingshot unfolds by trapping the majority into a bearish position. That becomes the fuel for the rally. That is also what took place from 2009 and the bearishness prevailed up until the last few weeks going into the ECM Turning point of January 18, 2020. This has been an 11-year rally which just cyclically is a time for a pause. However, the reason there will NOT be a bear market is that there is no possible flight to quality when we have government debt in a state of crisis. The US bond market is the last really standing. If the Fed were to lower rates even more in a fatal flaw to keep trying Keynesian Economics which has failed in Europe or Japan, this is merely added fuel to the fire that is already burning that leads to the Monetary Crisis Cycle. The ECB has nowhere to go. They have negative interest rates that have FAILED to stimulate the economy since 2014 and they have completely destroyed their bond markets which were in ling with Big Bang that started 2015.75. They have run out of ammunition. The only further options are to eliminate cash, do forced loans just seizing people's money and investing that in government bonds as Germany did in 1923 which instigated the Hyperinflation or similar to what Italy did by extending 90-day paper to 10 years when they could not repay. Ultimately, these Draconian measures will fail. The ONLY solution will require political reform and the surrender of this policy against consolidation of debts. This is what we are facing in the years ahead. This all seems to burst like a pimple saturated by corruption.