SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Spekulatius who wrote (63417)3/12/2020 9:13:18 PM
From: John Koligman  Respond to of 78783
 
Longer term probably. I am looking for a bounce in stocks that have been absolutely crushed. BP with almost 300B in revenues is now worth substantially less than Tesla. But, sitting on my hands in cash other than very short term day trading for now.



To: Spekulatius who wrote (63417)3/13/2020 1:49:39 AM
From: bruwin1 Recommendation

Recommended By
Sisyphus

  Respond to of 78783
 
"Wanting to get into the oils for an intermediate term trade but they simply continue to be falling knives..."

Seems to me that, although there are apparently very cheap, quality company stocks out there, this is not the bottom or turning point in the market(s). As a result there could still be more downside, and it may be too soon to buy those stocks.

Despite the fact that "Technical Analysis" (TA) is "frowned upon" on this site, the fact is that what one is looking for is for Buying to exceed Selling. And the data that TA uses is based on Price, Time and sometimes Volume. So when the TA indicators are generally confirming Buying and upward momentum, due to the related action of Buyers, that could be the time to consider being "Greedy". Otherwise it could just be more "Falling Knives".

I'm a Fundamental Analysis (FA) man and for me FA (the "horse"), under normal circumstances, comes before TA (the "cart"), and not the other way around. But we know what the FA quality is of a lot of those Quality companies that we see as Bargains. What we are looking for is some degree of confirmation that the Market is changing direction, and that confirmation is based on a renewed demand for stocks pushing stock prices up.

Speaking for myself, I don't have a problem maybe losing out on the initial 10% to 15% of a new stock price's recovery if there is good confirmation that the "falling knife" stage has passed ........



To: Spekulatius who wrote (63417)3/13/2020 4:05:47 AM
From: Nya_Quy  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 78783
 
Catching falling knives is how you get bargains, it is your duty as a fundamental investor to act in times like these if a) you think to spot a bargain 2) you have the cash to take a position. I would say that paying a bargain price is a good thing no matter what price action occurs afterwards, why? You got the bargain. Do you have cash left? Buy more and lower your overall obtained price even more.

-- Nya --