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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Box-By-The-Riviera™ who wrote (154704)3/18/2020 4:20:03 PM
From: TobagoJack1 Recommendation

Recommended By
Secret_Agent_Man

  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 218800
 
Re << does China re-infect? super ueber question. >>

Had i been a trade warrior w/ Team China, i would crank up economy steadily but leak report of terrible RE infection and super strain and and and

Let the chips fall where they might :0)

Would be very naughty, by good gaming

And making sure to wager against then with the market for a round-trip for the bother

Also, arrange to buy up debt paper of Trump non-USA assets, sell it to the Russians for foreclose processing given covenant violations



To: Box-By-The-Riviera™ who wrote (154704)3/18/2020 4:47:03 PM
From: Dr. Voodoo1 Recommendation

Recommended By
bull_dozer

  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 218800
 
Bend over here is some sunshine: <g>

1.) Does china re-infect: Depends on what lock down is, epicenter etc. So far @ 2 weeks symptomatic, seems they understand. In thailand now,,, 200+ cases in downtown bkk. Where i'm at people read the news. No bullshit, as the score gets higher, the masks go on. Kids off school. Saw a girl at the mall wiping the escalator hand rail. In shithole countries they close restaurants, and send the kids to school on the subway. SARS was real. So there's that.

2.) Actual effects of virus are a function of population, co-morbidities etc. Team italy is old. Elmat just published, some 99% of the dead in italy have co-morbidities. If you've been keeping score in NBA,,, several infected, no symptoms yet. So basketballs are as protective as quinine. Fuck no. Co-morbidity is damn important.

3.) How you treat the virus, vs. the symptoms matter. Papers over weekend show ibuprofen + ACE2 inhibitors= kiss of death. Given sepsis pathway, seems reasonable, that antinflammatories delay immune response +ACE2 increases viral burden. Patients go pear shaped fast. Antivirals are some of the most expensive drugs on the planet. Fuji Drug looks like winner, others are all useful. I haven't been able to source the raw material yet. I suspect the problem with all of these therapies isn't whether or not they work. The hush hush is who gets the drugs, and how much/how fast can they make it. 50% effective is 75% less hospital beds. (recovery+occupation). That shit will be employed,,, as soon as they have adequate safety data. It's at most a 2-4 week course,,,, it won't give anyone cancer.

4.) I tend to think the score is going to be lower... but right now,,, just shell shock. If the ER beds fill up fast, we are plucked.

They will have to do some sort of roll out of credit/no interest loans to businesses, and direct payments to families. Otherwise they will be wearing pitchforks.