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Pastimes : Pastrami on Rye -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Mike McFarland who wrote (375)4/3/2020 2:42:04 PM
From: Mike McFarland  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 379
 
The Fed exempted Treasuries and deposits from banks’ supplementary leverage ratio (SLR),
and that’s set to stoke debt trading and make Treasuries more appealing versus derivatives --
a dynamic that would widen swap spreads and potentially turn them positive across maturities.
finance.yahoo.com

okay, a lot of that is going over my head

here's an article...
markets.businessinsider.com

federalreserve.gov

The FIMA Repo Facility will allow FIMA account holders, which consist of central banks and
other international monetary authorities with accounts at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York,
to enter into repurchase agreements with the Federal Reserve. In these transactions, FIMA account
holders temporarily exchange their U.S. Treasury securities held with the Federal Reserve for U.S. dollars,
which can then be made available to institutions in their jurisdictions.

-----------------------
My simplistic take these past weeks is that all this money is going to be inflationary, the
dollar goes down, interest rates should eventually go up. With the whole world trading
cash and debt and fleeing to safety right now, who knows how low U.S. rates can go, but
it is all pretty amazing to watch.


The idea I had was to trade this ETF idea and wait for rates to bounce--and they may
yet do this after the virus is spent--in a few months, in a year? Anyway, the one ETF
that has some volume is this 3x 20-year bear--TMV and right now it is ask $4.84 x 4000
so I could buy some of that. It did make a run from $5 to 8, but then rates trended down
again--especially today. Maybe that has to do with Friday nerves too.


It might yet be awhile before we hit rock bottom--zero percent rates?
But on the 20 year, with new 20 year bonds coming up for sale in May? No,
surely not on long bonds are we going to get rates much lower than we
see today.

And what about all that news I've linked to above. This might be too far
above my level of understanding to fool around at all. fwiw, I've been in
cash for many years and haven't dabbled in any of this--even through the
real estate market crash. I just thought it might be fun to do a few daytrades,
but we shall see.