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To: rzborusa who wrote (36243)	3/21/2020 11:44:48 AM
From: neolib	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 73963

The rise is not in fact sharper (other than a current anomaly IMHO for the USA, related to testing). The problem is the rise along the 33%/day line is going to be MUCH longer. None of the other countries got anywhere near saturation before rolling off. We won't either. I'm simply stating the USA will rise significantly higher before rolling off. I fully expect the USA to roll off at the point they adopt measures similar to SK or China. China has cops with FLIR helmets watching people on the streets and nabbing them if they flunk the remote temp test. How do you think that one will play in the USA? So no, continuing the rise doesn't make for a shorter duration. You can get a shorter duration only if you knock it out completely. In theory, if we could have complete individual isolation for about 14-20 days or so, it would be gone. Then we could return to normal in less than a month. But good luck with getting that level of isolation. Not to make a big deal of it, but to my way of thinking a sharp raise, up slope will also make for a steeper down slope and a shorter duration. There should be a point where infections reach saturation and start to come down while deaths, trailing indicator are climbing. What we sorely need is much more testing.