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To: zax who wrote (152)3/23/2020 9:51:31 AM
From: zax  Respond to of 22882
 
A baseline of 397 is ignored in the data set used. Today's numbers pushed future projections upward. The RMS error today is 800.61 (47.095). The model, the weighted sums of two log-normal distributions, will not be valid after peak, as the data set represents a cumulative number, whereas the dual log-normal will return to baseline.