Silicon Investor (SI) -- The First Internet Community

STOCKTALK

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor. We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community. If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.

Politics : Sioux Nation -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Cautious_Optimist who wrote (323941)	3/24/2020 11:39:45 AM
From: Sun Tzu	Respond to of 361839

That is as good of a source as any. You just need to account for the facts based on academic research and empirical data. For example, the mortality rate can be estimated from China (32/810 = 3.9%) which is in the ballpark of WHO estimate of 3.4%. You can filter out the outliers like Korea, Germany, Iran, Italy or you can just use the global data (4.3%). You need to be careful what data you use. You will get a very scary number if you use the mortality number by the closed cases (14%) that is wrong for many reasons.