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Biotech / Medical : Coronavirus / COVID-19 Pandemic -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: research1234 who wrote (244)	3/25/2020 7:13:51 PM
From: pheilman_	Respond to of 22884

If the numbers are correct coming from NY, they have dropped the number of deaths per day by almost a factor of 10, in one day. 114 down to 14. Seems important.

To: research1234 who wrote (244)

3/25/2020 7:51:48 PM

From: zax

Respond to of 22884

Hi research1234,

One data point doth not trend make. My concern is that the deceleration presented by today's number may be in whole or in part due to reduced testing in NY alone, which appears to have been curtailed in the last two days. At present, NY accounts for 50% of US coronavirus cases.

Here are the raw numbers with the data if you'd like to chart it yourself. I don't want to add to my daily chore.

USA:		Confirmed	Dead
7-Mar	1	416	17
8-Mar	2	469	19
9-Mar	3	550	21
10-Mar	4	761	28
11-Mar	5	1039	29
12-Mar	6	1322	38
13-Mar	7	1701	40
14-Mar	8	2174	47
15-Mar	9	2952	57
16-Mar	10	3774	69
17-Mar	11	4661	85
18-Mar	12	6510	114
19-Mar	13	9415	150
20-Mar	14	14250	205
21-Mar	15	19624	260
22-Mar	16	26747	340
23-Mar	17	35225	471
24-Mar	18	46450	593
25-Mar	19	55225	802

Also, I backfilled in the missing data from before March 7, using another source, if you want that too. But the secondary source reports by date of infection, not by date of positive test result. So, by the second source, February 28 would correspond to March 6. Here is that data through February 28. I don't have the total number of dead for this data, only the confirmed total number of infected.

14-Jan	1	2
15-Jan	2	2
16-Jan	3	3
17-Jan	4	3
18-Jan	5	3
19-Jan	6	3
20-Jan	7	4
21-Jan	8	5
22-Jan	9	6
23-Jan	10	6
24-Jan	11	7
25-Jan	12	10
26-Jan	13	10
27-Jan	14	10
28-Jan	15	13
29-Jan	16	14
30-Jan	17	15
31-Jan	18	15
1-Feb	19	16
2-Feb	20	17
3-Feb	21	17
4-Feb	22	17
5-Feb	23	17
6-Feb	24	19
7-Feb	25	19
8-Feb	26	20
9-Feb	27	20
10-Feb	28	24
11-Feb	29	29
12-Feb	30	29
13-Feb	31	33
14-Feb	32	34
15-Feb	33	38
16-Feb	34	40
17-Feb	35	48
18-Feb	36	57
19-Feb	37	63
20-Feb	38	73
21-Feb	39	91
22-Feb	40	113
23-Feb	41	130
24-Feb	42	172
25-Feb	43	206
26-Feb	44	257
27-Feb	45	298
28-Feb	46	359