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Politics : Sioux Nation -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Wharf Rat who wrote (324213)	3/27/2020 9:43:38 AM
From: Wharf Rat	Respond to of 362386

27 Mar 2020: COVID-19 Cases Global Confirmed: 549,604 (+75,400). Dead: 24,863 (+3,510) USA Confirmed: 85,996 (+16,799). Dead: 1300 (+254) Message 32636849

To: Wharf Rat who wrote (324213)	3/27/2020 9:52:16 AM
From: Sun Tzu	Respond to of 362386

Thanks. I will read it after the market close. It seems like a good article. But I'd like to refer you to my post last night on the analogy between my model and SEIR type models, which is similar to the way Google predicts weather vs meteorologists' way. This is one of the big problems with SEIR models: "Well, it turns out that 5 days is baked in to the parameter values of the IC model! The doubling time is a function of R0 and the latent and infectious periods," It seems reasonable, but in fact the real world is too dynamic for that, just like the weather is too dynamic to be modeled easily. On a related note, the US rate may have slowed down from 10x every 8 days to 2x every 3 days. But I will have to examine it over the weekend.