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Politics : Sioux Nation -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Wharf Rat who wrote (324246)	3/27/2020 9:25:07 PM
From: Sun Tzu	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 362386

We have a date on Sunday around this time ;)

To: Wharf Rat who wrote (324246)	3/28/2020 12:09:58 AM
From: Sun Tzu	1 Recommendation Recommended By abuelita Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 362386

It occurred to me that the lockdown may provide a good data point as to how reducing emissions can affect the environment and global warming. I know that the duration and the amount is not long enough to show a real dent. But I wonder if it is measurable enough to make a convincing case and improve the existing models. Do you know of anyone working on this?

To: Wharf Rat who wrote (324246)

3/28/2020 11:40:14 PM

From: Sun Tzu

1 Recommendation

Recommended By
Wharf Rat

Respond to of 362386

I've updated my model ahead of time b/c I'm not sure that I can get back to you tomorrow. So here it goes. With the understanding that the "confirmed cases" number is absurd b/c I now have personal experience that they are not measuring most cases, at least in NYC, I've decided to bring in additional points of reference in the hopes that if NYC is too overwhelmed to report correctly, other places may still be mostly ok.

With that in mind, if we beat the predictions below, then the rate of growth is decreasing. We will still be in an exponential growth - just growing (much) more slowly. Reference the report here: worldometers.info

I will try to make similar updates as time permits, and then you can see how good we are doing. As I have mentioned, going forward, my SI presence will be limited.

Sunday 29th - EOD

New York
New Jersey
California
Washington
Michigan
Illinois
Florida
Louisiana
Texas
USA

62,492
14,149
6,729
4,997
5,933
4,094
5,148
3,975
2,821
148,987

Monday 30th - EOD

New York
New Jersey
California
Washington
Michigan
Illinois
Florida
Louisiana
Texas
USA

73,141
17,996
8,002
5,792
7,571
4,802
6,564
4,768
3,416
179,370