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To: stuffbug who wrote (278554)	4/16/2020 9:32:13 PM
From: skinowski	Respond to of 312621

I think there are many things the epidemiologists haven’t grasped. There are many ways to look at their models, but in the end, they haven’t helped. They contributed to the panic. At some point, I unfollowed every epidemiologist on Twitter. They spent too much time arguing with each other. Italy... I think they had the same problem that happened in Wuhan - the virus was traveling through the population for some time, and there were great numbers of cases, mostly mild - but the few percent that turned bad were enough to overwhelm the hospitals and cause a panic. I’d add to your list another item - in many parts of Italy, traditionally, several generations live under the same roof. Quite likely, young people kept getting the disease in mild forms - and infected the older ones. NYC subway transports 5.6 million riders every weekday (fewer over the weekends). That alone was probably more than enough to spread the virus fast, in a massive wave.