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Strategies & Market Trends : The Financial Collapse of 2001 Unwinding -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Snowshoe who wrote (5330)	4/16/2020 10:11:42 PM
From: Elroy Jetson	Respond to of 13801

A new upsurge in Covid infections in America as States less often in the headlines vote a strong Pro-Covid ticket to get some attention, including: Ohio, Indiana, Mississippi, New Hampshire, North Dakota and South Dakota.

To: Snowshoe who wrote (5330)	4/17/2020 12:07:31 AM
From: elmatador	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 13801

They way it's looking in the US plateau will be reached in December 2020, after elections...

To: Snowshoe who wrote (5330)	4/17/2020 1:13:39 AM
From: Joseph Silent	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 13801

To my mind the structure of that graph is bad news. It reminds me of response time (delay time) curves in OR problems .... measures in certain random processes. This (contagion) is also a random process and is not well-understood, by definition. In a typical response time graph, the blue line starts to go vertical as system load goes higher. When you normalize things, the highest (load) value on the x-axis is 1, while the highest value on the y-axis is, of course, infinity. All the mitigation procedures can prevent the blue from making a larger theta (angle) with the horizontal. The angle to the right now looks like a 45-degree angle. If it starts going to 46, 48 .... then it can escalate. I don't like the graph because it reminds me of similar graphs that go vertical. So we have to cut the loading ..... and I am afraid that the Orange Thing wants the opposite for reasons you can work out. One of the world's top probabilists once said to me --- while we were talking about people --- that on average, people collectively get what they deserve. He is not alive any more. But given who "we" put in charge, I can see what he meant.