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To: Winfastorlose who wrote (144823)	5/4/2020 8:38:00 AM
From: Horgad	Respond to of 218817

So many ways to use and abuse data. From that same publication: "o Based on death certificate data, the percentage of deaths attributed to pneumonia, influenza or COVID-19 (PIC) decreased from 23.6% during week 16 to 14.6% during week 17 which is still significantly above baseline. This is the second week of decline in this indicator, but the percentage remains high compared with any influenza season. The percentage may change as additional death certificates for deaths during recent weeks are processed." IE the hospitalization rate for over 65 is similar to the flu, but the death rate is higher. IMHO: One of the least corruptible data points to use as a comparison is number of deaths per day/week/months compared to previous years. For example in NY, about 470 people die per day on average. The highest day death count for Covid-19 was 571. So that day was bit over 2X the average death rate give or take. Is a short 2X spike in deaths worth a lockdown on this scale? That depends on opinion... It will be interesting to look at 2020 deaths as whole, but of course we won't have that data for a while. www1.nyc.gov