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To: THE ANT who wrote (5487)	5/4/2020 5:58:33 PM
From: Elroy Jetson	Respond to of 13794

I asked my dentist how his business has been doing at my appointment today. He told me it's down by a big percentage - even though dental appointments are not affected by any quarantine. Long time patients have been calling and canceling their appointments and he hasn't received any of the typical number of new patients he could have expected to see over a typical month. Quarantine, no quarantine isn't going to change this. . Trump may need to send the Army out to start shooting Americans who refuse to leave their homes and resume normal activities, otherwise his hotels are toast.

To: THE ANT who wrote (5487)	5/5/2020 6:02:07 AM
From: elmatador	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 13794

It took me a while to understand what you had written at the onset, way back when this thing started, that 2/3 of the population would be infected. It took a while to dawn on me that we cannot run nor ride. Slow Motion or Normal Speed were the choices. SLOM MOTION: All people who were lockedown promptly may get infected at a later date. In this country a citizen, a guy, say, 69 years old avoided Covid-19. Got scared and thanked his government to act promptly and closed down. As Covid scare receeds in memory, he travels, gets Covid and end up on a hospital. NORMAL SPEED: Countries that did not impose lockdowns promptly, have a higher % infections and thus, will have less infected people in the future. If a guy is say, 40 years old. Got Covid-19. Has minor symptoms. Got scared as Hell and recover. Although he got only say 6 to 18 months antibodies, it was enough for him to ride the wave until Covid became a case here and there

To: THE ANT who wrote (5487)	5/15/2020 10:38:19 AM
From: elmatador	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 13794

Coronavirus could be 'wiped out in London in weeks' - but what's the picture in the rest of England? The R value in England is 0.75, firmly under 1.0 - which the prime minister named as a requirement for the easing of lockdown. Friday 15 May 2020 13:29, UK The number of people becoming infected with coronavirus each day in London has fallen to 24, while the North East of England is seeing around 4,000 new infections daily, research suggests. The rate of infections in England also appears to be slowing, according to modelling by Public Health England and the University of Cambridge's MRC Biostatistics Unit. C Owners Should Do TodayOnline Savers Recommended by Data shows that the R value across England is 0.75, firmly under 1.0 - which the prime minister specified as a requirement for the continued easing of lockdown measures in the coming months. Coronavirus UK tracker: How many cases are in your area – updated daily The R value represents how many people on average an infected person goes on to infect If the R is 1, then one person with the disease infects one other person. If it is 3 - which Boris Johnson said seemed to be the "natural rate" for coronavirus - then one person will infect three. If R drops below 1 then the virus isn't being spread to enough people to sustain an outbreak, so it gradually peters out. The closer it is to zero, the faster cases drop. In the North East and Yorkshire the R rate is 0.8, in the South West it's 0.76, in the North West it's 0.73, in the South East and East of England it's 0.71 and in the Midlands it's 0.68, according to the research. More from Covid-19Coronavirus: Germany in recession as economy takes biggest hit since crashCoronavirus: UK on target to recruit 18,000 contact tracers by next week, govt saysCoronavirus: Doctor treats 'profoundly ill' surgeon who saved his life 20 years agoCoronavirus: Welsh First Minister urges English not to travel to Wales this weekendCoronavirus: How GCSEs, AS and A-levels will be graded and awarded in EnglandCoronavirus: Mary-Kate Olsen's emergency divorce rejected Image:A graph showing the R rate by region London's average rate has fallen to 0.4, meaning that for every 10 people who are infected, they are likely to pass it onto four people. The figure also means the capital has gone from being the epicentre of the UK outbreak to having the lowest rate of infection in England. When the lockdown was announced on 23 March, London was seeing more than 200,000 new cases daily, according to the research. But there are now fewer than 24 daily infections in the capital and, with this number halving every 3.5 days, the virus could be wiped out there within just a few weeks. The study will raise pressure on the government to consider lifting the lockdown at different speeds in different parts of the country. Cabinet minister Robert Jenrick alluded to the idea of different rules for different areas at the weekend, when he told Sky's Sophy Ridge On Sunday programme: "... if we see there are outbreaks in particular localities, neighbourhoods, schools, towns, then we may be able to take particular measures in those places as we build up a more sophisticated and longer-term response to controlling the virus". Health Secretary Matt Hancock has previously said the government was "looking at" the possibility. Cost of government response climbs to £123bn Speaking to Sky News, Northern Ireland Secretary Brandon Lewis said: "We've all got a part to play in that by following the guidelines, including in London. "If their analysis is correct and London is that much lower than elsewhere, it's important that we don't allow that to rise again, whether it's London, whether it's the North East or any other part of the UK. "Continuing to follow the guidelines that are set out is important in terms of keeping that R level within some control." It comes as a new study suggests more than 25% of the UK is likely to have had coronavirus already. Researchers from the University of Manchester, Salford Royal and Res Consortium used local authority data to calculate the R value - the number of people infected by one person with COVID-19 - for each area. What is your risk of dying from coronavirus? The data from the 144 local authorities analysed by the team now gives an R value of well below 1. The value was above 3 in the middle of March. Dr Adrian Heald, one of the researchers on the study - published this week in the International Journal of Clinical Practice - said: "COVID-19 is a highly infectious condition and very dangerous for a small group of people. However a much larger group seem to have low or no symptoms and have been unreported. "This study tries to provide an estimate of the number of historic infections - and gives us all a glimmer of hope that there may be light at the end of the tunnel. "We show how effective social distancing and lockdown has been. Though this is a tragedy, it could have been far worse". Easing of lockdown 'feels premature' - Burnham On Monday, Mayor of Greater Manchester Andy Burnham told Sky News that the changes to the lockdown regulations announced by the prime minister on Sunday night were "premature". "The PM's statement comes too soon for the North West and could cause confusion," he said. "My message to the people and businesses of Greater Manchester is this: please be cautious and take time before making any changes to your routine." Meanwhile, leaders of local authorities and unions chiefs have also accused ministers of going too fast on plans to reopen schools and want more local control over their return. The Local Government Association (LGA) has said schools should be allowed to make their own decisions about reopening. Councillor Judith Blake, chairwoman of the LGA's children and young people board, said parents were "anxious" about sending their children back to school and said more needed to be done to reassure families. Mr Johnson when announcing his plans for taking England out of lockdown, said Reception, Year one and Year 6 pupils could go back as soon as next month.