Silicon Investor (SI) -- The First Internet Community

STOCKTALK

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor. We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community. If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.

Strategies & Market Trends : The Financial Collapse of 2001 Unwinding -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: THE ANT who wrote (5502)	5/5/2020 9:46:02 AM
From: elmatador	Respond to of 13794

Yes, It makes sense the virus working his way down the risk ladder. It will get tough and tougher to kill as the persons are younger and healthier. I suspect the first cases people were getting It also makes people thing about how they are going to be treated. I am afraid of hospitals because there is where the bugs abound. Take this case: 73 year old Aldir Blanc, a great Brazilian composer who died couple of days ago. He went to the hospital to treat a pneumonia. Got infected with Covid. As he was debilitated, he died. If I'd have a person with a serious respiratory disease in my house, I would ask the doctor to come diagnose and prescribe the drugs. Then pay to get the nurse to come and do the round of checks. Collect the blood and take to the lab and pass results to the doctor. All that process was what my doctor did 2018 with a pneumonia, but I was 3 days at the hospital.

To: THE ANT who wrote (5502)	5/7/2020 3:29:30 AM
From: elmatador	Respond to of 13794

As you wrote: the next group is not as vulnerable, it means the virus will need to infect a much higher number of people to get 1 new casualty. You say half of the total deaths have already occurred. The frail will still account for the new deaths. Your guess is that 20% already have got the virus and have acquired immunity. Now see if what I conclude below makes sense to you. I made assumptions of these two factors Deaths and % of immune people The deaths -the remaining 50%- will be spread over a year or two which I broke down: June 2020 May 2021 Virus still gets frail people. How many will get infected over this period of time? say it the % of people who have got the virus and acquired immunity goes up to 80%. June 2021 May 2022 Virus will hardly gets vulnerable people to kill. Besides, only 20%, will still have never had contact with the virus

To: THE ANT who wrote (5502)	5/7/2020 4:45:00 AM
From: elmatador	Respond to of 13794

More than 99% of Italy’s coronavirus fatalities were people who suffered from previous medical conditions, according to a study by the country’s national health authority. ELMAT: Note that there is a study that shows Itlay has been having a higher number of deaths in winter In recent years, Italy has been registering peaks in death rates, particularly among the elderly during the winter season. sciencedirect.com 99% of Those Who Died From Virus Had Other Illness, Italy Says By Tommaso Ebhardt, Chiara Remondini, and Marco Bertacche More than 99% of Italy’s coronavirus fatalities were people who suffered from previous medical conditions, according to a study by the country’s national health authority. After deaths from the virus reached more than 2,500, with a 150% increase in the past week, health authorities have been combing through data to provide clues to help combat the spread of the disease. Prime Minister Giuseppe Conte’s government is evaluating whether to extend a nationwide lockdown beyond the beginning of April, daily La Stampa reported Wednesday. Italy has more than 31,500 confirmed cases of the illness. The new study could provide insight into why Italy’s death rate, at about 8% of total infected people, is higher than in other countries. The Rome-based institute has examined medical records of about 18% of the country’s coronavirus fatalities, finding that just three victims, or 0.8% of the total, had no previous pathology. Almost half of the victims suffered from at least three prior illnesses and about a fourth had either one or two previous conditions. More than 75% had high blood pressure, about 35% had diabetes and a third suffered from heart disease. Threat to the ElderlyThe median age of the infected is 63 but most of those who die are olde Source: ISS Italy National Health institute, March 17 sample The average age of those who’ve died from the virus in Italy is 79.5. As of March 17, 17 people under 50 had died from the disease. All of Italy’s victims under 40 have been males with serious existing medical conditions. While data released Tuesday point to a slowdown in the increase of cases, with a 12.6% rise, a separate study shows Italy could be underestimating the real number of cases by testing only patients presenting symptoms. According to the GIMBE Foundation, about 100,000 Italians have contracted the virus, daily Il Sole 24 Ore reported. That would bring back the country’s death rate closer to the global average of about 2%. — With assistance by Karl Maier, and Alessandro Speciale

To: THE ANT who wrote (5502)	5/8/2020 4:23:06 AM
From: elmatador	Respond to of 13794

Africa snapshot Uganda tested truck drivers. One case of a trucker out of 3,091 truckers tested at borders; 718 community samples are all negative. So only 1 positive out of a massive 3809 samples tested in 24-hours. Total cumulative positives now stand at 101 with zero deaths. You may say, if you still want to scare people: Uganda may have a higher young population with underlying co-morbid conditions like HIV, Hypertension, Diabetes & TB; But the fortunately the inoculation number of Covid 19 cases into the community has been low. Look at Uganda! Urban population (% of total) in Uganda was reported at 23.77 % in 2018. Besides the population spread thinly over a vast area see map.

To: THE ANT who wrote (5502)	5/8/2020 4:59:50 AM
From: elmatador	Respond to of 13794

The first university professor I knew A friend of a friend, son of a Portuguese immigrant. We met in our early 20s, By my mid 30s he had become a professor teaching economics in Pernambuco I was visiting our common friend, back from Nigeria on a holiday, and the professor also came back from Pernambuco on a holiday. I was shocked hearing what he telling how the university system worked. I was disgusted. Because news reporters are what they are, nowadays, one had better do his own research because there is way too little credibility on the news we read. While before electronic media (mid-to late 80s) -and without any source of news in Nigeria- I needed only BusinessWeek and The Economist to keep myself informed, today one need to read a dozen news sources because the credibility is lacking. Climate Science is a cesspool. It has so little credibility that we need to wait 30 years to see if what the scientists say would happen will really do.

To: THE ANT who wrote (5502)	5/8/2020 5:18:57 AM
From: elmatador	Respond to of 13794

Tie the university establishment with what science wants us to believe. Do that and follow the money. Whenever something that I know little about become news I don't do jump into doing any research, at first. I just think and pounder the issue. It happened when I first read professor Valentina Zharkova Have I come across this before? MQ was always writing about it. Milutin Milankovic theories Doesn't that conflict with what was said previously? This is a theory that conflcits with ALL the hoopla about warming. This is going to cause a big controversy. Who is this person who is saying that? If someone brings about a theory that confronts all that is being published and being contested by many we must read it. I was looking for if this professor says this is going to happen in a matter of 5 years she is not credible. If she just show data from the last 100 years or so idem. But once I briefly read her, she was showing data from 400 years and making a projection into the mid of this century. If we look into how this Solar Minimum Theory is going to develop into we must keep in mind Tie the university establishment with what science wants us to believe and follow the money. There are so much money and power at stake, that a new theory must not contest the conventional science. Therefore the credibility of the whole university and scientific establishments are going down the drain. Remember, there is always a scientist seeking a bribe from a Bill Gates.

To: THE ANT who wrote (5502)	5/11/2020 5:11:00 AM
From: elmatador	Respond to of 13794

"Our constant focus on the most negative impacts of the epidemic means we have "lost sight" of the fact the virus causes a mild to moderate illness for many" Dr Amitava Banerjee, of University College London. "For the non-vulnerable population, coronavirus carries no more risk than a "nasty flu" Prof Mark Woolhouse