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Technology Stocks : Cymer (CYMI) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Maxwell who wrote (13167)1/27/1998 2:46:00 PM
From: Steven Angelil  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 25960
 
Hey, Maxwell, long time no see. Could you please give us a very brief analysis of why you picked the numbers you did? I am assuming that if the real numbers are anything like the one's you posted, every long on this board will be exhaling a huge sigh of relief heading into the weekend.

Thanks

steve
P.s. what do you think of your idea to buy a #$$(*& load of May calls? If you had the money would you do it now, before earnings?



To: Maxwell who wrote (13167)1/27/1998 3:46:00 PM
From: FJB  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 25960
 
Maxwell,

I'll guess the following:

EPS $0.24
#lasers sold 131
Backlog # $114M
Stock Price $16.5

If you use the fixed font button below the reply window, you
don't have to use punctuation for spacing.

Bob



To: Maxwell who wrote (13167)1/27/1998 3:49:00 PM
From: Rookie  Respond to of 25960
 
Re: Q4 Estimation Competition

I'm looking for 10% quarterly revenue growth, and margins returning to .38 from .36 (supposedly one time charge last quarter reduced margins from .38 to .36; this lowered EPS from .27 to .23). I expect the backlog to shrink (by about 2%) in agreement with stepper companies. I have no idea what these numbers might do to the short term stock price, but I expect the share price to be held back by the decreased backlog.

Therefore,

lasers: 126 * 1.1 = 139 lasers
EPS: .27 * 1.1 = .30 EPS
backlog 116 * (.98) = 113 million
Price 16.75



To: Maxwell who wrote (13167)1/27/1998 4:13:00 PM
From: Yakov Lurye  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 25960
 
Q4 Guesses:

EPS 0.26
Lasers shipped 130
Backlog $115M
Price $16

Y.



To: Maxwell who wrote (13167)1/27/1998 4:20:00 PM
From: Zeev Hed  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 25960
 
Maxwell, I'll try my best, but it is ugly:

EPS: $0,24
Laser sold: 135
Backlog: $110 MM (Ouch)
Price: $14.25 (double ouch).

Zeev



To: Maxwell who wrote (13167)1/27/1998 4:47:00 PM
From: daniel yeung  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 25960
 
EPS =$0.26
#laser sold = 140
#backlog = 200
#stock price = 17 3/4

regards

daniel



To: Maxwell who wrote (13167)1/27/1998 5:12:00 PM
From: NW Bronco Fan  Respond to of 25960
 
The Bronco's did it, so maybe CYMI will too. Here's my estimates:

EPS:::::::::::::::: $0.25
#lasers sold::::::: 135
Backlog # ::::::::: $115M
Stock Price:::::::: $17.375



To: Maxwell who wrote (13167)1/27/1998 7:17:00 PM
From: Edward A. Fitzpatrick III  Respond to of 25960
 
$0.29EPS 139 lasers 133mm backlog $19 share
I'm an optimist.
EAF III



To: Maxwell who wrote (13167)1/27/1998 7:37:00 PM
From: mike jolley  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 25960
 
Hey Maxwell,

What the heck, this lurker and fellow CYMI money loser wants to take a stab at it too:

EPS:::::::::::::::: $0.25
#lasers sold::::::: 140
Backlog # ::::::::: $100M
Stock Price:::::::: $15 1/2

I hope my numbers are too bearish, but the absence of a run into the numbers leaves an earie feeling deep in my gut...

Jolley



To: Maxwell who wrote (13167)1/27/1998 10:03:00 PM
From: Mr. Aloha  Respond to of 25960
 
EPS:::::::::::::::: $0.23

#lasers sold::::::: 130
Backlog # ::::::::: $106M
Stock Price:::::::: $18 Briefly (spike) than back down to $16 until it's ready to move up :-)

Aloha



To: Maxwell who wrote (13167)1/28/1998 10:58:00 AM
From: Darryl Olson  Respond to of 25960
 
I wish I could place myself in the optimistic camp:

EPS $.24
Lasers 133
Backlog 105
Price $15.50



To: Maxwell who wrote (13167)1/28/1998 3:14:00 PM
From: Volsi Mimir  Respond to of 25960
 
Quarter guess match
This was my Christmas wish for all

EPS .27
Lasers 143
Backlog 120m ?
Stock $19 (now) $25 then-I was asking santa give me a break

eddyb