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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: THE ANT who wrote (158405)	5/27/2020 11:12:17 PM
From: arun gera	1 Recommendation Recommended By marcher Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 217618

>One death every three months is the usual ,maybe 2.> Lets assume 2 deaths per 350 as baseline. Then 1 extra death per 350 is about 3 deaths per 1000 or 3000 deaths per million population. Which is higher than what NY City has seen so far (about 2400 deaths per 1 million), which has been the worst hit US area so far. NY city is almost as bad as nursing home?And that was after social distancing (most likely social distancing started too late). Other than the Northeast, Michigan, Lousiana, and Pennsylvania the other states are more at 200 deaths /million and below. Pennysylvania is a pretty rural state, except for small pockets. And it is already at 400 deaths per million population. But Pennsylvania is proximate to the Northeast. Maybe a more deadly virus strain (initially arriving from Europe to big Airport cities such as NYC, Boston, Philly, DC is now spreading at a slow and steady pace by intra-region transportation, west, north, and south of these initial cities. And it is only a matter of time other states get affected. If that is the case, we are not at beginning of the end but at the end of the beginning. For the end can be as high as 2400 deaths/million as in NY city. -Arun