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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: arun gera who wrote (159791)	7/4/2020 8:20:30 AM
From: TobagoJack	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 218603

Nice. Thank you for that. I shall make sure no salt is added to the water :0) Very clear, truly.

To: arun gera who wrote (159791)	7/4/2020 8:50:16 AM
From: THE ANT	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 218603

There is at least one difference from your boiling explanation. Boiling happens at 100 degrees Celsius and does not go over. With herd immunity the faster you reach it the more you overshoot (article I read and posted previously) The slower you go the more likely you top at heard immunity. That could explain some of New York's outcome. In my original prediction I did account for some reduction in lethality from new treatments and I do think we have decreased deaths by about a third. I was lazy and did not look at population numbers for each state and age structure of each state. I am only about 55% correct in my stock picks but use large sums to invest and have not chickened out in 30 years, so do well

To: arun gera who wrote (159791)	7/6/2020 2:47:17 PM
From: Horgad	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 218603

The herd immunity level will be different for different locations depending on the average number of people that each person comes in contact with on an average day. Thus NY city herd immunity level may be much higher than rural America or the average across America. Also, social distancing artificially and temporarily lowers the herd immunity threshold and easing raises it back closer to "normal. Thus clouding the line and likely just delaying the inevitable, but probably not long enough to develop and distribute a vaccine.