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Morning Coffee
Daily Market Headliners Wednesday, January 28, 1998
Andrew Muir, CFA, Mining Analyst Jason Blanchard, Research
This publication is a market commentary not to be construed as a source of buy or sell recommendations.
MARKET PULSE
N DJI +102.14 68,573,600 T TT +138.58 88,284,670 V VV +5.11 22,225,268 T GL +188.91
Merger mania gripped the market Tuesday, fueling a 3.14% jump in the base metals group. Bolstered by consolidation in the financial services and energy sectors, investors speculated that a similar fate awaits metal producers. Investors were encouraged by recent comments by an executive at Rio Tinto PLC regarding an improving takeover environment for metal stocks. Advances outstripped declines 650 to 390 and overall, 12 of the TSE's 14 stock groups rose. Among Toronto's other resource stocks, the forest products group rose 2.83% while the energy sector posted a 2.70% gain, as oil prices continued to rally. The gold group rose 2.77% as Comex gold closed up US$3.70 at US$300.50 an ounce. In the speculative market, investors are coming back with steady accumulation in high profile plays such as the S. Voisey's Bay and the Sud Nafta oil/gas wildcat.
HEADLINERS
RODERA DIAMOND ("ROD-V") PACIFIC ROYAL VENTURES ("PFY-V") - Rodera and Pacific Royal will spend $1.3 M each on their various joint venture projects in 1998 and one or more of which will be drilled. The Norman Wells oil and gas project is especially prospective given its location in a prolific oil-producing region. This particular area was subject to a 15-year moratorium on exploration and is considered to have similar potential to the historic Norman Wells oilfield to the northeast which has produced over 130 M bbl to date out of a proven reserve of 235 M bbl.
ULTRA PETROLEUM ("UP-V") - Gross December production from Ultra Petroleum Corp. interest acreage at Stud Horse Butte in Jonah Field and Lizard Head on the Pinedale anticline totaled 656 million cu. ft. of gas and 6000 barrels of condensate. Average Rocky Mountain Index gas price for Ultra's Wyoming production in December was $2.07 per thousand cu. ft. Of the ten wells drilled so far at Stud Horse Butte, 5 wells are fully completed, 4 wells are partially completed and one well is awaiting completion. Four wells were financed by Western Gas Resources and six wells are being financed by Halliburton Energy Services. After project payout, Ultra will have a 51% net revenue interest in Stud Horse Butte wells. Before payout Ultra has varying interests currently averaging approximately 10% net revenue interest.
SENNEN RESOURCES ("SN-V") - Acquisition of Three Coal Deposits in Australia Mr. Douglas Hyndman, President, and Ian Rozier of Sennen Resources, announce that the Company has signed a Heads of Agreement to acquire a 100% interest in three large coal deposits in Queensland, Australia. All three, being the Onaview, Middlemount and Collingwood deposits, are located in established coalfields in central and southern Queensland. The total consideration to be paid will be Cdn. 1.4 M and the issuance of 8 M shares. The Onaview Deposit contains 172 M tonnes of recoverable, high volatile, low sulphur thermal coal with overburden (strip) ratios of less than 7.5 to 1. The Collingwood Deposit contains 85 M tonnes of measured, and 30 M tonnes of indicated, open-cut coal reserves with a strip ratio of between 5 to 1 and 7.5 to 1. The Middlemount Block contains both open-cut and underground reserves of thermal and coking coal. The Booroondara area contains a total of 254 M tonnes of coal with all seams taken into account, with 113.3 M tonnes of low to medium volatile, low sulphur, bituminous coal occurring in two seams, each Based on the documented reserves in the three deposits, and using an ascribed value of only A$0.10/tonne for only the Measured Resource, the value of these deposits is estimated to be $35 M. Ten recent BLM Coal Land Sales in the U.S. have an average price/recoverable tonne of coal of A$0.43 for an undeveloped resource.
HIGH RIVER GOLD MINES ("HRG-T") - Company has expended US $6 M in exploration on the Taparko Project, Africa, since the start of the programme in the spring of 1996. An initial resource estimate of 1,078,900 ounces of gold in 9,776,000 tonnes grading 3.43 grams was announced in August 1997 and is contained in three of the ten gold zones located over a strike length of just 4.4 kms on the Taparko Shear which has been traced over a strike length of about 20 kms. The project scoping study outlines an open pit mine with recovery by heap leach methods which could produce 90,000 ounces of gold per year at US 150 per ounce. The planned work programme for 1998 will include preparation of a feasibility study and exploration drilling of the other priority gold -enriched areas based on channel sampling results from the trenching.
MARKET MOVERS (Previous day's closing statistics)
Gleneagles Pete GPC 1,559,500 .49 +.07 High potential of Sud Nafta gas/oil well which is testing thick pay zones. Arm waving 200M bbls and 2 TCF gas over 59 sq. mi area. (3.35% net int.)
Cypress Minerals CYP 790,500 .43 +.06 S. Voisey's Bay player.
Kalahari Resources KLA 681,400 .84 +.10 Enters first deal to option raw grassroots claims from Sunstate Resources near Western Copper VMS discovery in Mexico.
Mandorin Gold MGD 638,000 .15 +.03 S. Voisey's Bay player.
Donner Minerals DML 508,422 1.64 +.21 Announces 1.5M PP @ $1.14 for continued drilling in April on S. Voisey's Bay with Teck as manager.
Cancall Cellular CLE 502,000 .23 +.03 Alliance with satellite telephone co. Dominik X's 300,000 shs
PCS Wireless PCS 335,800 .43 +.03 Liquidity and volatility for this junior with good management carving a niche in the emerging digital audio broadcasting industry. Needs news.
Equatorial Energy OZ 332,500 1.30 +.15 Raising funds to close 40M acquisition of First Dynasty's Indonesian oil assets. Plans to expand from 3,700 BOPD to 10,000.
Sunstate Resources SUT 310,500 .27 +.01 Kalahari opt. raw grassroots claims in vicinity of Western Copper, Mexico.
Ridgeway Pete RGW 309,550 1.75 +.25 Walter Ruck co. starts production of 3,170 MCFPD helium from large reserves in Arizona/New Mexico.
Venture Pacific VPV 177,500 1.27 +.12 PR firm hired to promote Nevada casino development still on the drawing board.
Westrend Energy WRN 141,500 .76 +.07 US newsletter writer predicts $0.47/sh profit from oil rig building business with further earnings from well logging and carrier business.
Leicester Diamonds LCD 131,500 .21 +.05 Ralph Noyes (ex Hecla) becomes president with plans to option significant silver projects in Mexico. John Toffan owns 2M shs of 20M o/s.
Arizona Star AZS 127,550 2.38 +.17 Steady rise in sh$ in sync with gold. Needs updated report from Placer.
Rodera Resources ROD 126,000 .31 +.02 Dave Duval Co. with aggressive option strategy for oil/gas projects.
Chapleau Resources CHI 123,000 .65 +.12 Drilling resumes on Shingle Gulch polymetallic project where results to date have been sporatic in very narrow zones.
Borneo Gold BNO 100,250 1.01 +.26 Indonesian contracts (COW's) approved. $7.00/sh hi last Feb. with good trench results that can now be followed up with drilling. $8M cash
Northern Abitibi NAI:A 537,300 1.38 +.16 Steady accumulation for April drilling by Teck to follow up 15 m intersection of 1.1% Ni, 0.2% Co in S. Voisey's Bay. N. Abitibi has 50% int. - Donner 25%.
Red Sea Oil RSO:A 254,400 3.75 +.30 Steady climb pending 2nd zone flow test that is expected to return at least 2,000 BOPD on top 3,000 BOPD higher in well. Successful testing may justify $5/sh.
Danoil Energy DAN.A:A 195,350 1.55 +.13 Reports $0.64/sh annualized cash flow with doubling of production to 4,100 BOEPD. Continued exploration drilling.
Weda Bay WDA:A 57,900 1.00 +.10 Anticipating Indonesian approval land contracts (COW's) on Ni-Co project where drilling is developing a mineable reserve.
Chauvco Resources CHV:T 298,693 .56 +24% Bounces back after dry hole in Remboue East pool. Continued drilling on other zones.
First Calgary Pete FCP:T 271,367 1.15 +13% 5% int. in Sud Nafta Well.
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