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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: THE ANT who wrote (160313)7/19/2020 3:01:19 PM
From: arun gera  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 218055
 
>I was wrong. Lets see today and how quickly it tapers off. In the end the important thing is that we develop herd immunity well below 50%>

You are not really wrong. Your prediction is just a little too early. You may be right in about 8-12 weeks. Unfortunately, there will be no herd immunity or vaccine by then - and with another 60,000+ deaths. By that time, the death rates will be low and there will be less enthusiasm for a vaccine.

-Arun



To: THE ANT who wrote (160313)7/19/2020 3:16:58 PM
From: arun gera  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 218055
 
>In the end the important thing is that we develop herd immunity well below 50%>
The best data we have so far is in parts of Queens, New York, where about 50% of sampled population had antibodies to Covid. However, the death rate there has reached about 5,000/deaths per million. USA as a whole right now is at about 450 deaths per million.

-Arun



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