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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Maple MAGA who wrote (1251041)7/31/2020 12:26:36 PM
From: rdkflorida2  Respond to of 1583391
 
Polls for 2016 did not have Russian help factored in. Now they have been adjusted. 2018 was predicted. BIG BLUE WAVE. DJT* is in trouble IF the numbers are the same after Labor Day. Watch. RDK



To: Maple MAGA who wrote (1251041)7/31/2020 12:29:56 PM
From: Wharf Rat1 Recommendation

Recommended By
pocotrader

  Respond to of 1583391
 
Polls generally don't lie. Maybe you mean they are never wrong.

"might as well not vote."
Maybe that's why some polls are wrong.

Diplomats Plead to Not Return to Offices
Political Wireby Taegan Goddard

“More than 500 State Department employees are privately pleading with the Trump administration to pull back its decision to send up to 80 percent of its staff members in Washington back to work in person after an employee who works near Secretary of State Mike Pompeo’s office tested positive for the coronavirus this week,” NBC News reports.



To: Maple MAGA who wrote (1251041)7/31/2020 12:52:06 PM
From: Tenchusatsu1 Recommendation

Recommended By
calgarylady

  Respond to of 1583391
 
Blah blah the polls didn't sample the right people.

Blah blah the polls underestimated white voter turnout.

Blah blah ...

Let's face it, the polls were never meant to be accurate. They were wrong in predicting the margin of Obama's victory in 2012, they were wrong in predicting the results of 2016, and who the heck knows whether they'll be right in predicting the results this year?

This is just the whole "consensus vs. consistency" problem in science again. Which pollster has been consistently right in predicting the last five elections? Which methodology has proven to be the most accurate and the more reliable when it comes to said predictions?

No one can answer that question because no one gives a shit. They all want to repeat a narrative. If the polls support the narrative, report on it. If the polls contradict the narrative, spike the story.

Tenchusatsu

P.S. - I still think the polls this time might actually be right, and Trump is going to lose in 2020. But I have given my reasons, which has nothing to do with what the polls say.