To: pocotrader who wrote (1262122 ) 9/15/2020 5:05:36 PM From: locogringo Read Replies (1) | Respond to Exactly what data is this...please feel free to analyze it statistically. I read it to say GIGO. Garbage in=Garbage out. FAKE polls in=FAKE numbers out.Date: New polls are awarded more weight than older polls, and the rate of decay increases as the election approaches.Sample size: Polls with larger sample sizes are weighted more heavily than those with smaller sample sizes. The weighting is determined by what would be the margin of error of the sample of decided voters, assuming a probabilistic sample.Pollster rating: The reliability of the pollster is determined by FiveThirtyEight.com's Pollster Ratings .Polls are also adjusted by removing undecided voters from reported polling results (when not already done by the pollster) and distributing them according to the voting intentions of decided voters in the survey. When pollsters report different results based on voter registration and/or likelihood to vote, “likely voter” results are prioritized, followed by “registered voters” and, lastly, “all adults”.Date: New polls are awarded more weight than older polls, and the rate of decay increases as the election approaches.Sample size: Polls with larger sample sizes are weighted more heavily than those with smaller sample sizes. The weighting is determined by what would be the margin of error of the sample of decided voters, assuming a probabilistic sample.Pollster rating: The reliability of the pollster is determined by FiveThirtyEight.com's Pollster Ratings .Polls are also adjusted by removing undecided voters from reported polling results (when not already done by the pollster) and distributing them according to the voting intentions of decided voters in the survey. When pollsters report different results based on voter registration and/or likelihood to vote, “likely voter” results are prioritized, followed by “registered voters” and, lastly, “all adults”.
