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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Julius Wong who wrote (163172)	10/4/2020 2:31:37 AM
From: TobagoJack	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 217656

am looking for likely catalysts for TSLA rise so far the Battery Day and the delivery counts happened without apparent catalytically affecting the share price wonder what it takes ... quarterly earnings? bloomberg.com Tesla Inches Closer to 2020 Goal With Quarterly Sales Record Dana Hull 2 October 2020, 20:09 GMT+8 Tesla Inc. delivered a record number of cars worldwide in the third quarter, smashing analysts’ estimates and maintaining its dominance in electric-vehicle sales -- making a difficult year-end sales goal slightly more attainable. The Palo Alto, California-based carmaker delivered 139,300 cars, eclipsing its prior all-time high of 112,000 in the fourth quarter of 2019 and above the 129,950 projected by analysts surveyed by Bloomberg. Shares of Tesla, which have rallied more than five-fold this year, fell 7.4% to close Friday at $415.09. That was part of a broad selloff of stocks after President Donald Trump disclosed a positive test for Covid-19. “We believe the bulls were anticipating deliveries to be in the range of 140,00 to 150,000” vehicles in the latest quarter, Jeffrey Osborne, an analyst at Cowen & Co. who has a “market perform” rating on the stock, said in a report. He estimates Tesla’s annual deliveries will total 462,000 vehicles. Ambitious TargetTesla didn’t say whether it still expects to deliver at least 500,000 vehicles this year, which would be a 36% gain over 2019. The company has handed over 318,350 cars to customers as of Sept. 30. It will need a blowout fourth quarter of around 181,650 global deliveries to reach its target. A worker unloads a Tesla Inc. Model 3 electric vehicle from a car carrier outside the company’s delivery center in Marina Del Rey, California. Photographer: Patrick T. Fallon/Bloomberg Tesla may find this challenging, Toni Sacconaghi, an analyst at Bernstein who rates the stock as an “underperform,” said in a research note. “Growth in deliveries will need to be the highest in the last five years for Tesla to achieve its goal of delivering at least 500,000 units in 2020,” he wrote. At the company’s ‘Battery Day’ event last month showcasing its technology, Musk reaffirmed that 500,000 goal for 2020 by saying he expected “somewhere between 30-40% growth” compared with last year. What Bloomberg Intelligence Says:“Tesla’s record deliveries in 3Q -- 139,300 globally -- followed by a similar number in 4Q buys the company a pass if it misses the 500,000-unit target for the full year. Hitting the goal would require 181,000 deliveries in 4Q, a quarterly production level -- 145,000 was a record in 3Q -- that will be difficult to achieve in the next 13 weeks.” -- Kevin Tynan, senior autos analyst Click here to read the research The strong showing by Tesla remains a bright spot in a global auto industry roiled by the pandemic. The quarterly sales are a barometer of worldwide EV demand as Tesla seeks to maintain its lead over startups and established automakers alike that plan to launch dozens of competing battery-powered vehicles in the next several years. Tesla’s global market share in EVs last year was an industry-leading 16%, according to a recent report by McKinsey & Co. Chief Executive Officer Elon Musk signaled to employees and investors that a record quarter was within reach in an internal email in late September. Read more: Musk Says Tesla Has ‘Shot at Record Quarter’ in Staff Email Slimmer StockpileTesla said its stockpile of vehicles shrank in the latest quarter, crediting smoother logistics in getting cars to customers. “New vehicle inventory declined further in Q3 as we continue to improve our delivery efficiency,” it said in a statement. Tesla’s mass-market Model 3 made up the bulk of deliveries in the third quarter, but the results included the Model Y crossover, which first started reaching U.S. customers in mid-March. Musk has predicted it will be a big seller, potentially topping the combined volume of all other vehicles in Tesla’s lineup. Deliveries of Tesla’s older and more expensive S and X models declined 13% to 15,200 vehicles in the quarter compared to a year ago. Tesla assembles the Model S, X, 3 and Y at its U.S. auto plant in Fremont, California. It also manufactures the Model 3 at a factory in Shanghai. The company is building new plants at a site near Austin, Texas, and outside Berlin. Tesla does not break down production or sales by region, making it hard to know how many cars the Shanghai plant, where Tesla currently makes the Model 3, cranked out. The U.S. and China have long been Tesla’s strongest markets. (Updates with closing shares in fourth paragraph. An earlier version of this story included a photo with an incorrect caption.) Before it's here, it's on the Bloomberg Terminal. LEARN MORE

To: Julius Wong who wrote (163172)	10/4/2020 2:59:10 AM
From: TobagoJack	Respond to of 217656

So, Oct 28th be reporting day re Q3 Until then either safe to short or not, depending on what the crowds do Should crowds buy-in, then safer to add short right before announcement day Should crowds be tepid, watch out for bear-trap announcement day I guess Also guessing that 700 / 800 is out of the question for the near term, this side of 2020 Then the next imponderable is where to put in the buy-calls in anticipation of rampette, level and timing so much to nap on tipranks.com

To: Julius Wong who wrote (163172)	10/7/2020 8:07:27 PM
From: TobagoJack	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 217656

<<TSLA>> Sir Armstrong's system says TSLA is a safe funding currency at the current moment going forward for a corner or two, watch & brief And since TSLA is a bet on the downside, the dark side, my long positions are automatically hedged Am good w/ market collapsing to zero, or staying where it is, or rising by any reasonable bits The same arrays do not read well for gold, and so must be careful w/ short TSLA / long DRD

To: Julius Wong who wrote (163172)	10/7/2020 8:16:47 PM
From: TobagoJack	Respond to of 217656

Naturally the caution re gold can turn on a dime to ultra hyper bullish ... bloomberg.com Fed to Debate Bond-Buying Program in Possible Step Toward Action Christopher Condon Jerome Powell Photographer: Drew Angerer/Getty Images North AmericaOfficials said lack of fiscal support would hurt U.S. recovery U.S. central bankers look poised to discuss the future of the Federal Reserve’s asset-purchase program when they meet again in November, potentially heralding a shift in what they buy, or an increase in how much they purchase. Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee’s Sept. 15-16 meeting released Wednesday showed that “some participants also noted that in future meetings it would be appropriate to further assess and communicate how the committee’s asset-purchase program could best support” the Fed’s dual-mandate objectives. The readiness of some officials to examine the bond-buying program signals they’d be open to altering or increasing the purchases -- perhaps before the end of the year -- as a way to further bolster the economy’s slowing recovery from the Covid-19 pandemic. Officials would be unlikely to consider cutting purchases. They next meet Nov. 4-5, a day after the U.S. presidential election. Zero RatesPolicy makers agreed at the September meeting to hold rates near zero until the labor market reached maximum employment, and inflation reached 2% -- and was on track to moderately exceed that goal for some time. Forecasts also released on Sept. 16 showed officials didn’t expect the economy to reach those targets until 2023 or 2024. U.S. central bankers, gathering virtually as a precaution against Covid-19, agreed to keep purchasing Treasury and mortgage-backed bonds at a combined pace of about $120 billion a month. At upcoming meetings, officials could seek to provide more monetary policy support by increasing the amounts of Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities they buy in an attempt to lower borrowing costs for households and businesses. Lengthen DurationHaving already emphasized that overnight rates are likely to be pinned to zero for years, policy makers might also shift some current bond purchases away from securities maturing in less than three years and toward those due over longer periods. That could help lower longer-term rates without adding to overall purchase levels. Officials repeated their mantra that the path of the U.S. economy would depend on the path of the Covid-19 virus. However, the minutes suggest many officials will downgrade their already lackluster forecasts if no new agreement emerges in Washington over fiscal aid. “Many participants noted that their economic outlook assumed additional fiscal support and that if future fiscal support was significantly smaller or arrived significantly later than they expected, the pace of the recovery could be slower than anticipated,” the minutes said. Financial StablityPolicy makers showed elevated concerns about financial stability, as well, if the recession becomes extended further than previously expected. “While the risk of another broad economic shutdown was seen as having receded, participants remained concerned about the possibility of additional virus outbreaks that could undermine the recovery,” the record said. “Such scenarios could result in increases in bankruptcies and defaults, put stress on the financial system, and lead to disruptions in the flow of credit to households and businesses.” The section detailing the debate between policy makers over the interest-rate guidance eventually incorporated into the Sept. 16 policy statement also revealed more opposition to the new language than previously disclosed. Two DissentsTwo FOMC voters, Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan and Minneapolis’ Neel Kashkari, dissented over the statement. The minutes, however showed “several” officials objected to the change. “Several participants noted that while they agreed it was appropriate to incorporate key elements of the consensus statement into the post-meeting statement, they preferred to retain forward guidance similar to that provided in recent FOMC statements,” the minutes said. These participants argued that “with longer-term interest rates already very low, there did not appear to be a need for enhanced forward guidance at this juncture or much scope for forward guidance to put additional downward pressure on yields.” — With assistance by Steve Matthews, and Craig Torres (Updates with additional details from eighth paragraph.) Sent from my iPhone